Pakistan Exports / Imports - Updates

Never argue with a fool, onlookers may not be able to tell the difference.
As a Macroeconomist learned person from Harvard, and the top professor from Harvard who worked with me but can't share what we did for the uplift of Pakistani economy during covid time, as its useless and waste of my precious time.


This is going to be my last post dealing with a person who does not understand macroeconomics,

i can share few things and then you can see my statement up about dealing with people like you unfortunately, i am answering with bullet points and debunking your lies or in better terms, lack of knowledge.

1. Its a fact that Pakistani economy grew at 5.7% during Covid time, third highest growth in the world, let it sink in for the readers.
2. Nominal GDP fell, PKR that was pegged artificially, was brough to market rate. I will ask the audience to learn about how transparency in currency was brought in during IK time. no lying like delusional corrupt times of artificially trying to peg PKR to $.
3. the Real GDP was setup to grow strongly, GDP at 6% in 2022 based on policies setup IK
in 2021. Nominal GDP will fall as Rs devalued due to letting it setup based on market value.
4. Per capita growth, i will call it mixed, as it was hurt by inflation but cushioned.
5. External balance improved from worsened condition, which was still a weakness.

your post @Pakistan Space Agency, deliberately substitutes FX math for growth economics. That’s not analysis, it’s rhetoric.

6. Two Years of Shrinkage, Context Matters. Yes, it shrank, FY2019–FY2020 were contractionary by design due to IMF stabilization plus COVID shock, this was front-loaded pain, not incompetence. Without that, reserves would have collapsed earlier, default risk would have materialized sooner and Import compression would have been chaotic.

7. your claim, MSCI downgrade is not an economic verdict, as MSCI classification depends on market liquidity, capital controls and FX repatriation rules. It is not a verdict on, GDP growth, employment stabilization, Industrial output and domestic demand. Using MSCI to “prove” economic failure is technically wrong.


I will suggest, never argue with a learned person on this subject but to be humble and learn from him, you will grow and will do well in life.

For the rest of the audience, i will say avoid dealing with supporters of corrupt and they love being a slave than freedom loving people. @ARMalik included.
Thanks for the polite rant. Please don't forget to put me on your ignore list. 🙂
 
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This guy built a billion dollar business in less than a decade. He is begging for power l, water and basic utilities for years now to develop a 250 acre industrial complex that could increase his current 170m exports by many folds. But everyone needs has failed to provide it including the morons at SIFC. All they know is to suck someone’s balls to get past debt rolled over:

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@Fatman17 sb


Thanks for bringing this article to my attention.

Loved the opening line

Conniving Modi played a Machiavellian card

and the closing line

With India’s attempts at dismantling Pakistan’s economy, as a retribution for the defeat it faced at the hands of Pakistan’s military,

Pullitzer material!

Regards
 

India's twin deals and likely impact on Pakistan exports
This article gives an impression as if all the trade deals made by Modi weren’t for own improvement but, to put Pakistan in a difficult position. And the last line was cherry on the cake.

A good example of how to make 2+2 =100 and link two unlinkbale issues, for the sake for eyeballs.
 
  • Pakistan exported $112.2 million in animal feed last fiscal year, industry targets nine-fold increase
  • Heavy dependence on UAE market raises risk of oversupply as Pakistan’s fodder production expands
KARACHI: Pakistan’s fast-growing fodder industry is targeting up to $1 billion in annual exports within five years, but growers say reaching that goal depends on Islamabad securing market access to major buyers such as Saudi Arabia and China.

The country exported 930,802 tons of “feeding stuff for animals” worth $112.2 million in the fiscal year ending June, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) data shared with Arab News. The United Arab Emirates accounted for the largest share at $33.2 million, leaving exporters heavily reliant on a single market.

Industry representatives say expanding cultivation without opening new destinations risks a supply glut that could depress farm prices and undermine a rapidly emerging export niche.

“We have mainly one country, the UAE, which is a purchaser,” said Sarfaraz Ali Junejo, chief executive of GRJ Agriculture and Livestock Farms and head of the Pakistan Hay Association.

He urged authorities to engage major importing countries “at the government-to-government level.”

The appeal reflects the growing importance of a specific export crop driving the sector’s expansion.

Rhodes grass — a high-protein tropical fodder crop used to feed dairy cattle, horses and camels — has gained commercial value as water-scarce Gulf states rely on imports rather than domestic cultivation.

“There is no agricultural land there (Gulf region). There is mostly desert due to shortage of water,” said Irfan Mahmood, an animal feed expert managing GRJ farms in Sindh province.

“In Saudi Arabia, agriculture is limited. In Dubai, there is no agriculture. Sometimes, if it rains once or twice a year, then grass grows. There are big animal farms, such as horses, camels, goats and sheep. They have to import fodder from other countries. Pakistan is one of them.”

Pakistan’s exports to Saudi Arabia remain minimal at $307,000 annually, compared with much larger imports from Sudan, while China has yet to approve the product for import.

“China could be a big buyer if the government takes initiative because the product is not registered there,” Junejo said.

“Saudi Arabia imports [more] Rhodes grass from Sudan, not from Pakistan. If there is an agreement at the government level, then definitely Saudi Arabia is a bigger market than the UAE, and our Rhodes grass can go there as well.”

RAPID EXPANSION AT HOME

Farmers have rapidly expanded acreage in response to Gulf demand. Rhodes grass cultivation has increased more than 60 percent in three to four years to roughly 120,000 acres nationwide.

On GRJ’s farms in Mirpurkhas district, workers harvest up to 60 tons daily.

“Sometimes they earn Rs1,000 ($3.6) a day, sometimes Rs1,500 ($5.4) a day. It depends on the amount of work,” said labor supervisor Muhammad Soomar.

“If they harvest fewer acres, they earn less.”

GRJ plans to boost exports 36 percent to 30,000 tons this year but may pause expansion due to oversupply fears.

“If Pakistan’s agricultural setup exceeds 100,000 acres, naturally the market will not be local. People will be worried,” Junejo said.

“If no other country comes in, then there will be problems. Farmers will suffer and will not get proper market rates.”

The shift toward export crops is partly policy-driven rather than purely market-led.

The growth comes as Pakistan reduces crop subsidies under a $7 billion IMF stabilization program approved in September 2024, pushing farmers toward export-oriented agriculture instead of state-supported staples.

“There is no rate support for other crops. There is no government policy, no government subsidy, no cover,” Junejo said.

He said Pakistan’s Trade Development Authority should actively negotiate access abroad.

“There is a Trade Development Authority (of Pakistan). They should engage at the government level and send delegations,” he said.

“Buyers should be briefed. Our products should be sampled.”

Pakistan enjoys “very good relations” with China but must complete regulatory registration before exports can begin, according to Junejo.

“We should talk at the government level and get it registered. To China, we can also export animal feed by road, which would be a breakthrough,” he said

POTENTIAL AND OBSTACLES

Beyond regulatory approval, exporters cite taxation on imported machinery, foreign exchange conversion losses and customs duties as barriers to scaling production.

“Exporting is very difficult. When we bring in foreign exchange, we do not get favorable rates. We face customs and regulatory issues,” Junejo said.

“There should be zero taxes on machinery. Heavy machinery and tractors are not made locally, so we have to import them, and taxes are high.”

Despite the challenges, industry participants say Pakistan’s fodder quality now rivals established suppliers.

“There is also alfalfa and other animal feed products going from Pakistan, but not on a large scale,” Junejo said.

“We need to work on expanding other products as well. If these matters are addressed at the government level, exports can grow.”

Agriculture accounts for about 24 percent of Pakistan’s economy and employs roughly 38 percent of the labor force. Growers believe opening major markets could transform fodder into a major non-traditional export sector.

“If China and Saudi Arabia start importing from us, it (exports) can increase tenfold because there is a strong need for fodder,” Junejo said.

“They have a culture of keeping animals, and dairy products are needed everywhere.”

He identified Saudi Arabia and China as the two decisive markets:

“If our product goes to Europe, that would be very good. But the two big markets that can be worked on are China and Saudi Arabia.”
 
  • Pakistan exported $112.2 million in animal feed last fiscal year, industry targets nine-fold increase
  • Heavy dependence on UAE market raises risk of oversupply as Pakistan’s fodder production expands
KARACHI: Pakistan’s fast-growing fodder industry is targeting up to $1 billion in annual exports within five years, but growers say reaching that goal depends on Islamabad securing market access to major buyers such as Saudi Arabia and China.

The country exported 930,802 tons of “feeding stuff for animals” worth $112.2 million in the fiscal year ending June, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) data shared with Arab News. The United Arab Emirates accounted for the largest share at $33.2 million, leaving exporters heavily reliant on a single market.

Industry representatives say expanding cultivation without opening new destinations risks a supply glut that could depress farm prices and undermine a rapidly emerging export niche.

“We have mainly one country, the UAE, which is a purchaser,” said Sarfaraz Ali Junejo, chief executive of GRJ Agriculture and Livestock Farms and head of the Pakistan Hay Association.

He urged authorities to engage major importing countries “at the government-to-government level.”

The appeal reflects the growing importance of a specific export crop driving the sector’s expansion.

Rhodes grass — a high-protein tropical fodder crop used to feed dairy cattle, horses and camels — has gained commercial value as water-scarce Gulf states rely on imports rather than domestic cultivation.

“There is no agricultural land there (Gulf region). There is mostly desert due to shortage of water,” said Irfan Mahmood, an animal feed expert managing GRJ farms in Sindh province.

“In Saudi Arabia, agriculture is limited. In Dubai, there is no agriculture. Sometimes, if it rains once or twice a year, then grass grows. There are big animal farms, such as horses, camels, goats and sheep. They have to import fodder from other countries. Pakistan is one of them.”

Pakistan’s exports to Saudi Arabia remain minimal at $307,000 annually, compared with much larger imports from Sudan, while China has yet to approve the product for import.

“China could be a big buyer if the government takes initiative because the product is not registered there,” Junejo said.

“Saudi Arabia imports [more] Rhodes grass from Sudan, not from Pakistan. If there is an agreement at the government level, then definitely Saudi Arabia is a bigger market than the UAE, and our Rhodes grass can go there as well.”

RAPID EXPANSION AT HOME

Farmers have rapidly expanded acreage in response to Gulf demand. Rhodes grass cultivation has increased more than 60 percent in three to four years to roughly 120,000 acres nationwide.

On GRJ’s farms in Mirpurkhas district, workers harvest up to 60 tons daily.

“Sometimes they earn Rs1,000 ($3.6) a day, sometimes Rs1,500 ($5.4) a day. It depends on the amount of work,” said labor supervisor Muhammad Soomar.

“If they harvest fewer acres, they earn less.”

GRJ plans to boost exports 36 percent to 30,000 tons this year but may pause expansion due to oversupply fears.

“If Pakistan’s agricultural setup exceeds 100,000 acres, naturally the market will not be local. People will be worried,” Junejo said.

“If no other country comes in, then there will be problems. Farmers will suffer and will not get proper market rates.”

The shift toward export crops is partly policy-driven rather than purely market-led.

The growth comes as Pakistan reduces crop subsidies under a $7 billion IMF stabilization program approved in September 2024, pushing farmers toward export-oriented agriculture instead of state-supported staples.

“There is no rate support for other crops. There is no government policy, no government subsidy, no cover,” Junejo said.

He said Pakistan’s Trade Development Authority should actively negotiate access abroad.

“There is a Trade Development Authority (of Pakistan). They should engage at the government level and send delegations,” he said.

“Buyers should be briefed. Our products should be sampled.”

Pakistan enjoys “very good relations” with China but must complete regulatory registration before exports can begin, according to Junejo.

“We should talk at the government level and get it registered. To China, we can also export animal feed by road, which would be a breakthrough,” he said

POTENTIAL AND OBSTACLES

Beyond regulatory approval, exporters cite taxation on imported machinery, foreign exchange conversion losses and customs duties as barriers to scaling production.

“Exporting is very difficult. When we bring in foreign exchange, we do not get favorable rates. We face customs and regulatory issues,” Junejo said.

“There should be zero taxes on machinery. Heavy machinery and tractors are not made locally, so we have to import them, and taxes are high.”

Despite the challenges, industry participants say Pakistan’s fodder quality now rivals established suppliers.

“There is also alfalfa and other animal feed products going from Pakistan, but not on a large scale,” Junejo said.

“We need to work on expanding other products as well. If these matters are addressed at the government level, exports can grow.”

Agriculture accounts for about 24 percent of Pakistan’s economy and employs roughly 38 percent of the labor force. Growers believe opening major markets could transform fodder into a major non-traditional export sector.

“If China and Saudi Arabia start importing from us, it (exports) can increase tenfold because there is a strong need for fodder,” Junejo said.

“They have a culture of keeping animals, and dairy products are needed everywhere.”

He identified Saudi Arabia and China as the two decisive markets:

“If our product goes to Europe, that would be very good. But the two big markets that can be worked on are China and Saudi Arabia.”
That is like saying I am targetting to become a billionaire but need someone to give me a billion dollars.
 
  • Pakistan exported $112.2 million in animal feed last fiscal year, industry targets nine-fold increase
  • Heavy dependence on UAE market raises risk of oversupply as Pakistan’s fodder production expands
KARACHI: Pakistan’s fast-growing fodder industry is targeting up to $1 billion in annual exports within five years, but growers say reaching that goal depends on Islamabad securing market access to major buyers such as Saudi Arabia and China.

The country exported 930,802 tons of “feeding stuff for animals” worth $112.2 million in the fiscal year ending June, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) data shared with Arab News. The United Arab Emirates accounted for the largest share at $33.2 million, leaving exporters heavily reliant on a single market.

Industry representatives say expanding cultivation without opening new destinations risks a supply glut that could depress farm prices and undermine a rapidly emerging export niche.

“We have mainly one country, the UAE, which is a purchaser,” said Sarfaraz Ali Junejo, chief executive of GRJ Agriculture and Livestock Farms and head of the Pakistan Hay Association.

He urged authorities to engage major importing countries “at the government-to-government level.”

The appeal reflects the growing importance of a specific export crop driving the sector’s expansion.

Rhodes grass — a high-protein tropical fodder crop used to feed dairy cattle, horses and camels — has gained commercial value as water-scarce Gulf states rely on imports rather than domestic cultivation.

“There is no agricultural land there (Gulf region). There is mostly desert due to shortage of water,” said Irfan Mahmood, an animal feed expert managing GRJ farms in Sindh province.

“In Saudi Arabia, agriculture is limited. In Dubai, there is no agriculture. Sometimes, if it rains once or twice a year, then grass grows. There are big animal farms, such as horses, camels, goats and sheep. They have to import fodder from other countries. Pakistan is one of them.”

Pakistan’s exports to Saudi Arabia remain minimal at $307,000 annually, compared with much larger imports from Sudan, while China has yet to approve the product for import.

“China could be a big buyer if the government takes initiative because the product is not registered there,” Junejo said.

“Saudi Arabia imports [more] Rhodes grass from Sudan, not from Pakistan. If there is an agreement at the government level, then definitely Saudi Arabia is a bigger market than the UAE, and our Rhodes grass can go there as well.”

RAPID EXPANSION AT HOME

Farmers have rapidly expanded acreage in response to Gulf demand. Rhodes grass cultivation has increased more than 60 percent in three to four years to roughly 120,000 acres nationwide.

On GRJ’s farms in Mirpurkhas district, workers harvest up to 60 tons daily.

“Sometimes they earn Rs1,000 ($3.6) a day, sometimes Rs1,500 ($5.4) a day. It depends on the amount of work,” said labor supervisor Muhammad Soomar.

“If they harvest fewer acres, they earn less.”

GRJ plans to boost exports 36 percent to 30,000 tons this year but may pause expansion due to oversupply fears.

“If Pakistan’s agricultural setup exceeds 100,000 acres, naturally the market will not be local. People will be worried,” Junejo said.

“If no other country comes in, then there will be problems. Farmers will suffer and will not get proper market rates.”

The shift toward export crops is partly policy-driven rather than purely market-led.

The growth comes as Pakistan reduces crop subsidies under a $7 billion IMF stabilization program approved in September 2024, pushing farmers toward export-oriented agriculture instead of state-supported staples.

“There is no rate support for other crops. There is no government policy, no government subsidy, no cover,” Junejo said.

He said Pakistan’s Trade Development Authority should actively negotiate access abroad.

“There is a Trade Development Authority (of Pakistan). They should engage at the government level and send delegations,” he said.

“Buyers should be briefed. Our products should be sampled.”

Pakistan enjoys “very good relations” with China but must complete regulatory registration before exports can begin, according to Junejo.

“We should talk at the government level and get it registered. To China, we can also export animal feed by road, which would be a breakthrough,” he said

POTENTIAL AND OBSTACLES

Beyond regulatory approval, exporters cite taxation on imported machinery, foreign exchange conversion losses and customs duties as barriers to scaling production.

“Exporting is very difficult. When we bring in foreign exchange, we do not get favorable rates. We face customs and regulatory issues,” Junejo said.

“There should be zero taxes on machinery. Heavy machinery and tractors are not made locally, so we have to import them, and taxes are high.”

Despite the challenges, industry participants say Pakistan’s fodder quality now rivals established suppliers.

“There is also alfalfa and other animal feed products going from Pakistan, but not on a large scale,” Junejo said.

“We need to work on expanding other products as well. If these matters are addressed at the government level, exports can grow.”

Agriculture accounts for about 24 percent of Pakistan’s economy and employs roughly 38 percent of the labor force. Growers believe opening major markets could transform fodder into a major non-traditional export sector.

“If China and Saudi Arabia start importing from us, it (exports) can increase tenfold because there is a strong need for fodder,” Junejo said.

“They have a culture of keeping animals, and dairy products are needed everywhere.”

He identified Saudi Arabia and China as the two decisive markets:

“If our product goes to Europe, that would be very good. But the two big markets that can be worked on are China and Saudi Arabia.”
Regarding this issue, I have attempted some simple research and analysis.

China imports over one million tons of forage annually, peaking at over two million tons. But why doesn't China import large quantities of rhodes grass from Pakistan?

1. The nutritional structure of rhodes grass cannot effectively fill the gaps in China's most scarce and core forage functional segment.
In short: nutritional value mismatch.

2. Pakistan's rhodes grass supply chain has not yet formed an industrialized and standardized forage system geared towards high-standard import markets.
In short: Pakistan's agricultural product industrial standardization does not meet Chinese standards.

3. China has no policy motivation to increase imports of forage grass with "low strategic value and domestic substitutability."
In short: China has better domestic alternatives to rhodes grass.

According to data, China does import rhodes grass from Pakistan, but in very small quantities for the reasons mentioned above.

If Pakistan hopes China will increase imports, Pakistani friends are encouraged to try to raise these issues with the relevant Pakistani authorities.

If Pakistan attempts to resolve this issue solely through political and diplomatic means, it might receive a "very polite and friendly response," but it will be difficult to implement it effectively. These livestock businesses have their own accounts to keep, and political and diplomatic means cannot fundamentally change their decisions.
 
@Michael @hydrabadi_arab

Hay/dried grass are low value, high volume fodders- the price of such fodder is usually less than USD 100/MT- it makes no sense to transport it. As opposed to high value feeds such as soya meal, DDGS etc (all priced over USD 200/MT).

Regards
 
@Fatman17 sb

ME war to hamper Pakistan exports

You will be in good company. All exporters (barring oil and petroproducts) will be sc***ed.

Regards
 
  • Pakistan exported $112.2 million in animal feed last fiscal year, industry targets nine-fold increase
  • Heavy dependence on UAE market raises risk of oversupply as Pakistan’s fodder production expands
KARACHI: Pakistan’s fast-growing fodder industry is targeting up to $1 billion in annual exports within five years, but growers say reaching that goal depends on Islamabad securing market access to major buyers such as Saudi Arabia and China.

The country exported 930,802 tons of “feeding stuff for animals” worth $112.2 million in the fiscal year ending June, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) data shared with Arab News. The United Arab Emirates accounted for the largest share at $33.2 million, leaving exporters heavily reliant on a single market.

Industry representatives say expanding cultivation without opening new destinations risks a supply glut that could depress farm prices and undermine a rapidly emerging export niche.

“We have mainly one country, the UAE, which is a purchaser,” said Sarfaraz Ali Junejo, chief executive of GRJ Agriculture and Livestock Farms and head of the Pakistan Hay Association.

He urged authorities to engage major importing countries “at the government-to-government level.”

The appeal reflects the growing importance of a specific export crop driving the sector’s expansion.

Rhodes grass — a high-protein tropical fodder crop used to feed dairy cattle, horses and camels — has gained commercial value as water-scarce Gulf states rely on imports rather than domestic cultivation.

“There is no agricultural land there (Gulf region). There is mostly desert due to shortage of water,” said Irfan Mahmood, an animal feed expert managing GRJ farms in Sindh province.

“In Saudi Arabia, agriculture is limited. In Dubai, there is no agriculture. Sometimes, if it rains once or twice a year, then grass grows. There are big animal farms, such as horses, camels, goats and sheep. They have to import fodder from other countries. Pakistan is one of them.”

Pakistan’s exports to Saudi Arabia remain minimal at $307,000 annually, compared with much larger imports from Sudan, while China has yet to approve the product for import.

“China could be a big buyer if the government takes initiative because the product is not registered there,” Junejo said.

“Saudi Arabia imports [more] Rhodes grass from Sudan, not from Pakistan. If there is an agreement at the government level, then definitely Saudi Arabia is a bigger market than the UAE, and our Rhodes grass can go there as well.”

RAPID EXPANSION AT HOME

Farmers have rapidly expanded acreage in response to Gulf demand. Rhodes grass cultivation has increased more than 60 percent in three to four years to roughly 120,000 acres nationwide.

On GRJ’s farms in Mirpurkhas district, workers harvest up to 60 tons daily.

“Sometimes they earn Rs1,000 ($3.6) a day, sometimes Rs1,500 ($5.4) a day. It depends on the amount of work,” said labor supervisor Muhammad Soomar.

“If they harvest fewer acres, they earn less.”

GRJ plans to boost exports 36 percent to 30,000 tons this year but may pause expansion due to oversupply fears.

“If Pakistan’s agricultural setup exceeds 100,000 acres, naturally the market will not be local. People will be worried,” Junejo said.

“If no other country comes in, then there will be problems. Farmers will suffer and will not get proper market rates.”

The shift toward export crops is partly policy-driven rather than purely market-led.

The growth comes as Pakistan reduces crop subsidies under a $7 billion IMF stabilization program approved in September 2024, pushing farmers toward export-oriented agriculture instead of state-supported staples.

“There is no rate support for other crops. There is no government policy, no government subsidy, no cover,” Junejo said.

He said Pakistan’s Trade Development Authority should actively negotiate access abroad.

“There is a Trade Development Authority (of Pakistan). They should engage at the government level and send delegations,” he said.

“Buyers should be briefed. Our products should be sampled.”

Pakistan enjoys “very good relations” with China but must complete regulatory registration before exports can begin, according to Junejo.

“We should talk at the government level and get it registered. To China, we can also export animal feed by road, which would be a breakthrough,” he said

POTENTIAL AND OBSTACLES

Beyond regulatory approval, exporters cite taxation on imported machinery, foreign exchange conversion losses and customs duties as barriers to scaling production.

“Exporting is very difficult. When we bring in foreign exchange, we do not get favorable rates. We face customs and regulatory issues,” Junejo said.

“There should be zero taxes on machinery. Heavy machinery and tractors are not made locally, so we have to import them, and taxes are high.”

Despite the challenges, industry participants say Pakistan’s fodder quality now rivals established suppliers.

“There is also alfalfa and other animal feed products going from Pakistan, but not on a large scale,” Junejo said.

“We need to work on expanding other products as well. If these matters are addressed at the government level, exports can grow.”

Agriculture accounts for about 24 percent of Pakistan’s economy and employs roughly 38 percent of the labor force. Growers believe opening major markets could transform fodder into a major non-traditional export sector.

“If China and Saudi Arabia start importing from us, it (exports) can increase tenfold because there is a strong need for fodder,” Junejo said.

“They have a culture of keeping animals, and dairy products are needed everywhere.”

He identified Saudi Arabia and China as the two decisive markets:

“If our product goes to Europe, that would be very good. But the two big markets that can be worked on are China and Saudi Arabia.”
This fodder ain't going anywhere soon
 

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