Pakistan Weather News / Updates

hydrabadi_arab said:
ISLAMABAD:
Pakistan has informed the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that its external sector will benefit from the floods due to an expected upsurge in remittances that may now hit $43 billion, enough to offset any dip in exports and keep the current account deficit under check.

The Pakistani authorities shared their macroeconomic assessment of the post-flood scenario with the IMF, which did not depict any element of concern, according to government sources. The assessment suggests a stable inflation rate around 7% and the economy still growing close to 4%.

The conservative official assessment was that workers' remittances may reach nearly $41 billion compared to the pre-flood target of $39.4 billion, said the government sources. The higher figure is linked to a better economic outlook in countries where Pakistanis live and are likely to send more money to help their families.

Almost half of Pakistanis living abroad are from flood-hit districts in Punjab, and authorities believe there is a chance they could send an additional $2 billion this year.

Other factors contributing to higher remittances are exchange rate stability, the seasonal factor of Eids, lower global inflation, and government incentives to use formal channels.

Sources have said that so far, remittances have grown 7% - which, because of floods, can go up to at least 12%, enough to increase remittances to $43 billion. Authorities noted that after the 2010 floods, remittances rose exceptionally for at least one year. It is not yet clear whether the IMF has accepted Pakistan's position. An affirmative response could lower external financing requirements by the same amount, which otherwise remain high.

Due to stronger remittance flows, the government now projects a current account deficit of less than $1 billion against the original $2.1 billion target and the IMF's estimate of $3.6 billion, said sources. Some believe the current account may even post a surplus if the $43 billion in remittances materialise.

Earlier, there were concerns that the floods, which have impacted 3.3 million acres of land in Punjab, would create external pressures due to higher imports and lower rice exports.

The government's assessment shared with the IMF was that exports may dip by $1 billion to $34.2 billion this fiscal year because of flood damage to agriculture and industry.


Imports are still projected on the higher side at $65 billion due to rising cotton requirements and the effect of reduced regulatory duties.

A day earlier, IMF Mission Chief Iva Petrova also said the floods would not significantly hurt economic growth or FBR's tax collection target.

The finance ministry's assessment is that economic growth may still remain 3.7%, compared to the 4.2% target, reflecting losses in agriculture and spillover effects on industry and services. The Planning Commission's estimate, however, was slightly higher at around 4%.

The recent floods are a significant downside risk to Pakistan's macroeconomic stability. But the finance ministry said the economy was in a much stronger position to absorb the impact compared to the 2022 floods.

With low inflation, moderate domestic demand, and stable global commodity prices, the excessive inflation and external pressures seen after past floods are expected to remain contained.

According to the official assessment, although crop outcomes are below targets, some still exceed last year's levels. For rice, the sown area reached 3.2 million hectares against a 3.1 million target. Sugarcane was sown on 1.2 million hectares, slightly above target, while cotton sowing remained below target.

Rice production is still estimated at 8.8 million tonnes, about 400,000 tonnes short of target but not enough to significantly affect supplies. Sugarcane production is projected at 81 million tonnes, still better than target.

Cotton output is expected at 7.2 million bales, below target but higher than last year. Maize production is forecast at 9.2 million tonnes, one million more than last year. Wheat production is anticipated to meet the 29.6 million-tonne target, though actual results will depend on sowing conditions. The IMF was told the target for industrial growth was set at 4.3% and largely remains intact.

The government is also not expecting inflation to rise despite floods. It informed the IMF that inflation may remain around 7%, supported by exchange rate stability in the medium term and the expected increase in remittances.

The Ministry of Finance also released its monthly economic outlook on Tuesday, which said Pakistan's economy maintained its trajectory of stabilisation and growth during the first two months of FY2026.

The stability was due to moderating inflation, strengthening large-scale manufacturing, and controlled fiscal imbalances despite floods, said the ministry. The LSM sector posted growth led by textiles, automobiles, and cement, while CPI inflation eased in August 2025. The finance ministry said flood-related disruptions may pressure food supply chains, raising prices in the short term. Inflation is therefore expected to rise temporarily but remain contained within the 3.5% to 4.5% range in September 2025.
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Very optimistic as usual
 

More rain expected across Punjab till Oct 7 as flood survey underway: PDMA​

PDMA DG says 11,500 survey workers on the ground; details multi-layered verification process for losses.
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Rain likely in parts of Sindh, Balochistan today as ‘Shakhti’ intensifies into severe cyclonic storm: PMD​

Light to moderate rain likely in Badin, Thatta, Sujawal, Jamshoro, Hub, Lasbela, Awaran and Kech districts, and isolated places in Karachi Division.

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شَاھِین شَاہِ لَولَاک said:
and still overseas Pakistanis have to pay hefty tax on their cell phone to get it PTA approved
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Off topic:
But Yeah the whole PTA cell phone tax is stupid - it penalises ordinary Pakistanis and Overseas Pakistanis, meanwhile the usual culprits are still able to bypass such poorly thought out steps.
 
ghazi52 said:

More rain expected across Punjab till Oct 7 as flood survey underway: PDMA​

PDMA DG says 11,500 survey workers on the ground; details multi-layered verification process for losses.
..........................................

Rain likely in parts of Sindh, Balochistan today as ‘Shakhti’ intensifies into severe cyclonic storm: PMD​

Light to moderate rain likely in Badin, Thatta, Sujawal, Jamshoro, Hub, Lasbela, Awaran and Kech districts, and isolated places in Karachi Division.

.............................
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They had 25 days to plan - NDMA now uses predictive modelling - a system donated by Japan. They have no excuses for poor management of such issues.
 

Cyclone ‘Shakhti’ intensifies; rain expected in Karachi, parts of Sindh, Balochistan​


‘Shakhti’ further intensifies into severe cyclonic storm over northeast Arabian Sea

BR Web Desk
October 4, 2025

Rain is expected to lash Karachi and different parts of Sindh and Balochistan today as the cyclonic storm ‘Shakhti’ has intensified into severe cyclonic storm over northeast Arabian Sea at about 390 kilometre south-southwest of Karachi, the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) said on Saturday.

“The cyclonic storm ‘Shakhti’ over northeast Arabian Sea has moved westward during past 12 hours, further intensified into severe cyclonic storm over the same region and now lay centered at around Latitude 22.0N & Longitude 65.0E,” the Met Office said.

The weather advisory department said the cyclone is likely to move west-southwestwards and reach northwest and adjoining central north Arabian Sea by October 5 then it will recurve and move east-northeastwards during subsequent 24 hours and weaken gradually.

Under its influence, the met department said wind-thunderstorm and light to moderate rain is likely in Badin, Thatta, Sujawal, Jamshoro, Hub, Lasbella, Awaran, Keach districts and at isolated places in Karachi division today.
 
RescueRanger said:
They had 25 days to plan - NDMA now uses predictive modelling - a system donated by Japan. They have no excuses for poor management of such issues.
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Any indication Pakistan has a Aquifer recharging map?

Why not hit two birds with one stone, diverting water to known areas that will maximize recharging the aquifer, considering demand for water use is increasing rapidly.

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"Pakistan Seismic Activity in September":

Total Earthquakes: 319

⚡ Magnitude less than 3: 08

⚡ Magnitude 3.0–3.9: 235

⚡ Magnitude 4.0–4.9: 128

⚡ Magnitude 5.0–5.9: 13

Pakistan is among the most tectonically active regions in the world. The towering K2, Earth’s second-highest peak, stands as evidence of the rapid convergence of tectonic plates. Within this region lie active thrust faults, transform faults, and a subduction zone , a rare combination of geological features concentrated in one place.
 
🌦️⛰️ Tourist Weather Forecast | 4–8 Oct 2025

Rain expected in Murree, Neelum Valley, Swat, Kaghan, Naran, Malam Jabba, Chitral, Gilgit & Skardu.

Heavy rain at few spots with snowfall on high mountains 🌨️

Tue–Wed: Mostly dry & partly cloudy.

Ziarat → Dry weather ahead.

Perfect info for tourists planning to travel north this week!
 
TOURIST WEATHER UPDATE | 05-10-25

📅 Monday to Wednesday:
All major tourist destinations including Muzaffarabad, Neelum Valley, Murree, Galiyat, Kalam, Malam Jabba, Naran, Kaghan, Swat, Chitral, Dir, Gilgit, and Skardu are likely to experience rain with thunderstorms, gusty winds, and hailstorms at a few places.
❄️ Snowfall is also expected over the high mountain peaks during this period.

📅 Thursday & Friday:
Most tourist spots are expected to remain partly cloudy and mainly dry.

🌤️ Ziarat & Surroundings:
Dry weather is likely during the next few days.

👉 Stay connected with the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) for the latest tourist weather forecasts and travel updates.
 
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Rs744bn losses. Pakistan economy take another hit.
 
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