An American arms deal with $ 100 billion in Saudi Arabia .. What are the most prominent systems that Riyadh is expected to squire?
Reports indicate that the United States of America is considering concluding a huge armament package with Saudi Arabia, which may exceed $ 100 billion. This possible deal comes in the context of historical and firm military cooperation between the two countries. Like what happened in the visit of former US President Donald Trump to the Kingdom in 2017 where huge deals were announced, this upcoming step reflects the continued deep strategic partnership.
The deal is expected to include various categories of advanced military systems, in response to the growing defensive needs of the Kingdom and to face the current regional challenges. Among the most prominent of these categories: air and missile defense systems, combat aircraft and advanced march, and high -resolution ammunition. The strategic motivation behind these widespread purchases is to enhance Saudi defense capabilities in a complex regional environment.
However, this possible deal is likely to face potential obstacles, most notably the process of reviewing and adopting major arms deals in the US Congress, as well as the ongoing concerns related to human rights issues.
A busy record of US armament deals for Saudi Arabia
The United States and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia have historical and profound military relations, its beginnings due to the 1951 defense assistance agreement. For decades, the United States formed the main military provider of the Kingdom, and the march of relations witnessed the conclusion of many huge armament deals.
Among the most prominent of these deals:
- 2011 (Obama Administration): A deal worth about $ 29.4 billion, focused on the Air Force by including 84 new F-15SA fighters, in addition to updating 70 F-15 fighters within the Royal Saudi Air Force fleet.
- 2017 (Trump Administration): During his first visit to the Kingdom, President Trump announced a "intentional agreement" or a large -scale "proposed package" with an immediate value of about $ 110 billion, with a ceiling of expectations that may reach 350 billion dollars over a period of ten years. This package was described as one of the largest in the history of US arms sales. It included a wide range of advanced systems, such as the THAAD defense system, Patriot batteries (MIM-104 Patriot), Abrams Tanks (M1A2), Bradley Martial Vehicles, and potential surface combat ships. It also included vital components such as promotions of communication systems, cybersecurity, leadership and control to enhance operating compatibility with American forces. However, it is necessary to note that the announcement in 2017 was ambitious, and the declared value did not turn into contracts immediately, as many items remained subject to the approvals of Congress and the export control reviews. For example, the value of the contracts signed actually did not exceed part of the declared value by 2018.
- In 2010 (Obama Administration): Notifying Congress with a major deal, its estimated value at the time was 60.5 billion dollars, which confirms the continuous approach of the United States to provide the Kingdom with qualitative military capabilities.
Military systems expected in the upcoming deal
According to the circulating reports and analysis of the strategic environment surrounding the Kingdom, the proposed armament package is expected to include a wide range of vital military systems:
- Air Force: The deal is very likely to include advanced combat aircraft. However, the Kingdom's obtaining F-35 fighters is still excluded in the short term due to the American policy aimed at maintaining the qualitative military superiority of Israel. So, the deal may focus on more current F-15 fighter fleet promotions or buy other types of modern combat aircraft.
- UAVS/Drones: The importance of this component has emerged in particular, as the MQ-9B Seaguardian specifically was mentioned as a great possible element, which may amount to $ 20 billion. These aircraft will enhance the Kingdom's capabilities in the areas of monitoring and reconnaissance (ISR) significantly, which reflects the increasing focus on these capabilities in modern conflicts and facing asymmetric threats.
- Air and missile defense: Given the continuous threats to the Kingdom of ballistic missiles and drones, it is almost certain that the deal includes acquisitions or updates of major defense systems such as Thaad and Patriot. Patriot systems have been practically effective in intercepting many Houthi attacks on the Kingdom's lands.
- Precision ammunition: These munitions are a decisive element of Saudi air and land operations, and therefore it is strongly expected to be an essential part of the deal.
- Transport aircraft: Reports indicated the possibility of purchasing military transport planes from Lockheed Martin. This interest confirms the need to enhance logistical capabilities and the ability to re -deploy the forces and equipment.
- Radar, leadership and communications systems: These systems are a pivotal link and integration of various components of military power, and therefore it is natural that they are within the armament package to ensure comprehensive operational event.
Specific examples of the potential military systems to be included
Here are more specific examples of the systems that the deal may include, based on the known leaks and needs:
Air Force:
- F-15sa Advanced Eagle: This fighter is a major element in the Royal Saudi Air Force, and the deal will include more update or acquisition of additional copies.
- F-35 Lightning II: As we mentioned earlier, the possibility of the Kingdom to obtain this ghostly fighter remains weak in the foreseeable term due to the American commitment to maintain the qualitative military superiority of Israel.
- UAVS/Drones:
- GENERAL ATOMICS MQ-9B Seaguardian: This driving plane for monitoring and reconnaissance tasks (ISR) is strongly candidate to be an essential element in the deal, especially to enhance marine and land monitoring capabilities.
- Air and missile defense:
- Lockheed Martin Thaad (Terminal High altitude Area Defense): A very important system for intercepting ballistic missiles at high altitudes, and its numbers are expected to increase or update current systems.
- Raytheon Mim-104 Patriot (including PAC-3 MSE): the most used air defense and missile defense system to counter tactical ballistic missiles and other weather threats. The Kingdom is likely to be supplied with more batteries or advanced objectionable missiles (such as PAC-3 MSE).
- Munition accurately:
- Miscellaneous ammunition: A large package of accurately directed munitions is expected to be included from major companies such as Raytheon (RTX) and Boeing. Common examples include laser grenades (Paveway) and other advanced air to land bombs and missiles necessary to support combat operations.
- Transport aircraft:
- Lockheed Martin C-1330 Hercules: The military transport plane for many of the air force, and new copies are likely to be purchased to enhance the tactical air transport capabilities.
- Other possible systems:
- The deal may also include various (non -air defense) missiles, new radar systems, advanced communications equipment, and cybersecurity technology. Some reports also indicated a possibility that it included lightweight pours.
Strategic and defensive motives behind Saudi Arabia's endeavor to obtain these weapons
There are many strategic and defense causes and motives that make the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia seek to obtain these qualitative military capabilities at the present time, the most prominent of which are:
Addressing the growing regional threats: foremost of which are Iranian activities and agents in the region, especially ballistic missile attacks and frequent drones.
Ensurance of air excellence: In an area that witnesses an arms and development race in the air capabilities of some regional powers, the preservation of a deterrent and superior air force is a decisive matter for the Kingdom's security and its ability to impose its air sovereignty.
Securing the vast borders: The Kingdom has widespread and naval borders, which require effective protection against infiltration, smuggling and other threats, and modern systems contribute to strengthening these capabilities.
Development of intelligence, monitoring and reconnaissance capabilities (ISR): to enhance circumstantial awareness, monitor regional developments and monitor potential threats early.
Update of the armed forces: replacing older regimes with newer and more advanced systems to raise combat efficiency and enhance capabilities in various types.
Promoting operational consensual with American forces: maintaining a high degree of consensualism between Saudi and American armament systems is necessary to facilitate planning and implementing joint operations within the framework of strategic partnership.
Great historical deals ... precedents to measure the upcoming deal
To assess the size and importance of the expected potential deal, it is useful to look at the previous major armament deals between the United States and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia:
A deal of 2017: The package, whose intentions were announced during President Trump's visit in 2017, is an initial value of 110 billion dollars and a potential ceiling of 350 billion dollars, the nearest historical precedent in terms of size and scope that can be measured.
A deal of 2010: The Obama administration's notification of Congress indicates a deal of about $ 60.5 billion to the ability to conclude large and varied defensive packages between the two countries.
F-15sa fighter deal in 2011: Although its value ($ 29.4 billion) was less than the above deals, it represented a significant strategic investment in strengthening the advanced air capabilities of the Kingdom.
These historical precedents confirm a continuous pattern of large -scale US arms transfers to the Kingdom for decades. These deals are often linked in the official speech to enhancing joint strategic cooperation and facing challenges and opponents in the region.
The potential impact of the deal on the balance of power in the Persian Gulf
There is no doubt that the completion of a armament deal of this size will result in a significant strengthening of Saudi military capabilities in various dimensions, which may carry tangible implications for the balance of the forces existing in the Arab Gulf region:
A possible change in the balance of power: the Kingdom will have deterrent capabilities and greater fire, which may reshape the current military balances with other regional powers.
Stimulating the arms race: This deal may push other countries in the region to seek similar or anti -armament systems to maintain its security balances, which may lead to an escalation in the regional armament race.
Impact on the regional view: While strengthening defensive capabilities (such as air and missile defense) can be considered a stable factor, but having greater offensive capabilities may be seen by regional opponents as a possible threat.
Establishing the American role: The deal will reaffirm the role of the United States as a major security partner for the Kingdom and the region in general, and this may reduce the share of other suppliers of weapons such as Russia and China in the Saudi market.
A possible huge deal with multi -faceted effects
In light of these data, the upcoming armament deal stands at a decisive crossroads: between a historical opportunity to redraw the features of power in the Gulf, and a difficult test of the ability of the Saudi-American alliance to withstand the winds of politics and variables.
The coming days alone will reveal if this deal will become the cornerstone of regional security equations, or will it remain merely an ambitious suspended in the possibility space.
