Russia-Ukraine War - News, Discussions & Updates

[Nuffle]

The first motorcycle company has been formed in the Ukrainian army as part of the 425th separate assault regiment "Skala". At the same time, Ukrainian media noted that motorcycles and ATVs have been successfully used in the Russian army since last year. It is worth noting that the Ukrainian army has already begun to use ATVs, but the use of motorcycles was previously usually ridiculed. As reported, the assault regiment "Skala" is now conducting intensive training on motorcycles, sometimes up to 14 hours a day. According to Ukrainian servicemen of the regiment "Skala", the use of motorcycles allows for the rapid delivery of infantry, changing the direction of attack and reducing the risk of being hit by drones

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Only those who understand the reality of the current battlefield in Ukraine will understand the reasons for both sides doing this, even though it sounded ridiculous when Russia started doing it.

If it's stupid but it works, then it's not stupid.

 

[Nuffle]

let us go back to the time of USSR
they were the true rival to the US.

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The Soviets were never a rival to the US.

Do you study history? Who was more aggressive and imperialistic, the US or the USSR?

You can go back to just after the Middle Ages and you will understand why Western Europe came to dominate the rest of the world and not the other way around. More specifically, it explains why it was first the Dutch, then the British and finally, in the 20th century, the United States, that became the dominant imperial power, and why the United States, internally one of the most liberal states, pursued the most aggressive foreign policy, while the former Soviet Union, for example, with its totally illiberal (repressive) domestic policies, pursued a comparatively peaceful and cautious foreign policy.

The United States knew that it could defeat any other state militarily; therefore, it was aggressive. In contrast, the Soviet Union knew that it was doomed to lose a military confrontation with any state of substantial size unless it could win within a few days or weeks.

How do you think that applies to what China is today?

I have no doubt that the CMC's top military circle is fully aware that the chance of victory against the US is uncertain, while the Americans with their military and economic power know that even if defeated they could inflict permanent pain on China, which is why their policy is much more aggressive than China's.

The Soviets were a worthy adversary to the West from the 1960s to the end of the 1970s. Until the 1960s and after the 1970s, the Soviets ceased to be such a worthy adversary.

 

[Ё-МАЁ]

The Soviets were never a rival to the US.

Do you study history? Who was more aggressive and imperialistic, the US or the USSR?

You can go back to just after the Middle Ages and you will understand why Western Europe came to dominate the rest of the world and not the other way around. More specifically, it explains why it was first the Dutch, then the British and finally, in the 20th century, the United States, that became the dominant imperial power, and why the United States, internally one of the most liberal states, pursued the most aggressive foreign policy, while the former Soviet Union, for example, with its totally illiberal (repressive) domestic policies, pursued a comparatively peaceful and cautious foreign policy.

The United States knew that it could defeat any other state militarily; therefore, it was aggressive. In contrast, the Soviet Union knew that it was doomed to lose a military confrontation with any state of substantial size unless it could win within a few days or weeks.

How do you think that applies to what China is today?

I have no doubt that the CMC's top military circle is fully aware that the chance of victory against the US is uncertain, while the Americans with their military and economic power know that even if defeated they could inflict permanent pain on China, which is why their policy is much more aggressive than China's.

The Soviets were a worthy adversary to the West from the 1960s to the end of the 1970s. Until the 1960s and after the 1970s, the Soviets ceased to be such a worthy adversary.

The Soviet Union was a country that posed serious limitations to the Western world. I'm not talking about the military threat. There was no such thing. Our countries are fairly well armed, including with nuclear weapons.
I am referring to a certain economic efficiency. Thanks to the planned policy and a peculiar combination of moral and material incentives, the Soviet Union managed to achieve high economic performance. Its gross national product growth rate was about twice as high as in our countries. If we take into account the huge natural resources of the USSR, then with reasonable economic management in the Soviet Union were quite realistic opportunities to displace us from world markets.
Therefore, we have always taken actions aimed at weakening the economy of the Soviet Union and creating its internal needs.
Margaret Thatcher

Translated with DeepL.com (free version)

 

[F-22Raptor]

Two years means until 2027. This still disregards the support of Russian allies such as the North Koreans and Iranians, expansion of Russian military production, and other factors.

No it doesn’t disregard it, you think Cavoli is unaware of foreign support and Russian production rates? Russian production can’t keep pace with its losses. Thats a fact.

Russia can keep its current offensive pace(which is anemic BTW) for another 2 years due to its Soviet deep storage stocks. Most of what can be refurbished will have been pulled and refurbished over the next 12-18 months. Russian production can’t keep up, therefore its ability to sustain offensive operations will be drastically diminished in 2 years.

Russian deep storage will be completely wiped out if this war continues into 2027.

 

[Nuffle]

The Soviet Union was a country that posed serious limitations to the Western world. I'm not talking about the military threat. There was no such thing. Our countries are fairly well armed, including with nuclear weapons.
I am referring to a certain economic efficiency. Thanks to the planned policy and a peculiar combination of moral and material incentives, the Soviet Union managed to achieve high economic performance. Its gross national product growth rate was about twice as high as in our countries. If we take into account the huge natural resources of the USSR, then with reasonable economic management in the Soviet Union were quite realistic opportunities to displace us from world markets.
Therefore, we have always taken actions aimed at weakening the economy of the Soviet Union and creating its internal needs.
Margaret Thatcher

Translated with DeepL.com (free version)

The USSR had some limitations on the Western world, but it could not necessarily counter it, especially militarily. You see, the USSR as a second world country and the second largest economy could afford to physically engage and oppose the West in different places in the world, but this was hardly true hard power when Soviet capabilities were smaller compared to what the West could mobilize. Yes, the USSR was a colossus, perhaps the largest army in history, but it was essentially an army capable of defending the greater Soviet land area and acting in adjacent areas, which could include the Western Pacific, Europe and the Middle East.

This colossus was sustained by a deficient and backward economy, as well as a stagnant one. The economic performance you cite was true between the 1960s and 1970s, the period when I had taken for granted that the USSR was indeed a worthy adversary to the West, but by the late 1970s stagnation was already underway and the Soviets never recovered from the implosion in 1991.

 

[Nuffle]

No it doesn’t disregard it, you think Cavoli is unaware of foreign support and Russian production rates? Russian production can’t keep pace with its losses. Thats a fact.

Russia can keep its current offensive pace(which is anemic BTW) for another 2 years due to its Soviet deep storage stocks. Most of what can be refurbished will have been pulled and refurbished over the next 12-18 months. Russian production can’t keep up, therefore its ability to sustain offensive operations will be drastically diminished in 2 years.

Russian deep storage will be completely wiped out if this war continues into 2027.

Yes. He doesn’t know. He doesn’t know about Iranian production, he doesn’t know about DPRK production, he doesn’t know about Chinese production that could flow to Russia, and much more. All of this could flow to the Russians to the extent that they could continue their operations for much longer. And as I said, the Russians could increase the rate of military production even further if they wanted to, despite the socio-economic implications. So these are assessments based on one scenario, not multiple scenarios, and Cavoli was very clear about the rate of Russian production. Just to give you an example, Ukraine just released images of a KPA MLRS in Kremmina, which means that certain types of North Korean military equipment are already flowing to Russia.

 

[Soldier35]

Footage of strikes by Russian kamikaze drones "Geran" and ballistic missiles Iskander on Kyiv, on the night of May 24. The video also shows the work of the Ukrainian air defense Patriot, made in the United States. As reported by the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, 245 drones out of 250 were shot down. But Ukrainian journalist and video blogger Anatoly Shariy published a video recording 20 strikes by Geran drones, shown in an accelerated version. The strikes by Geran drones were aimed primarily at the Antonov plant, where, among other things, UAVs are assembled. A representative of the command of the Ukrainian Air Force, Yuriy Ignat, reported that Russia had modernized the Iskander missiles, now the Patriot air defense cannot effectively work against them. According to him, the Iskander missiles now fire off radar decoys and attack the target along a quasi-ballistic trajectory. That is, now the missile maneuvers and does not approach the target in a straight line. As a result, Patriot air defense systems cannot effectively calculate the missile's interception point.

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[F-22Raptor]

Yes. He doesn’t know. He doesn’t know about Iranian production, he doesn’t know about DPRK production, he doesn’t know about Chinese production that could flow to Russia, and much more. All of this could flow to the Russians to the extent that they could continue their operations for much longer. And as I said, the Russians could increase the rate of military production even further if they wanted to, despite the socio-economic implications. So these are assessments based on one scenario, not multiple scenarios, and Cavoli was very clear about the rate of Russian production. Just to give you an example, Ukraine just released images of a KPA MLRS in Kremmina, which means that certain types of North Korean military equipment are already flowing to Russia.

Cavoli is the head of EUCOM, he has access to all intelligence streams that are relevant to this war. You don’t know what you’re talking about.

Russian deep storage stockpiles are approaching critical levels over the next year. That’s a fact

 

[AZ_HighCountry]

Russian elites don´t care of human lives at all. russian soldiers are treated as if they are disposable plastic garbarge. Putin only understands brute force. as consequence the europeans will armed to the teeth.
if Europe armies spend 5 percent of GDP on defence then the military budget combined will be 1 trillion USD. together with US spendings then will be 2 trillion USD combined a year on military.
Imagine how many houses, hospitals, etc. how many people can be fed.
but hey, killing not feeding more people is the new trend.

You just described the Russian Army for the last 110 years.

 

[Persian Gulf]

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20 Shahed drones hit Kiev

 

[Persian Gulf]

one of the largest combined missile-drone strikes across Ukraine in a very long time today

Russia fired 40+ Iskander ballistic missiles with impacts reported across Ukraine (including Kiev)

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[Persian Gulf]

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[Persian Gulf]

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large damage in Kiev

 

[Nuffle]

Cavoli is the head of EUCOM, he has access to all intelligence streams that are relevant to this war. You don’t know what you’re talking about.

Russian deep storage stockpiles are approaching critical levels over the next year. That’s a fact

Cavoli definitely didn't look at the effort Russia's allies can make to sustain the Russians in the post-2027 war. All he did was make an analysis considering Russian stockpiles and the rate of Russian production. You can read what he said here:

https://www.armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/general_cavoli_opening_statements.pdf

Furthermore, WOTR completely disagrees with you:

Russia has been relying heavily on Soviet-era stocks for medium and heavy equipment replenishment. Indeed, its stock of Soviet-era tanks are far from tapped and could be further relied upon if needed. But it is not as if the majority of Russian tanks on the battlefield have been older models pulled from storage and refurbished — Russia’s new production has been noteworthy. The U.K. Ministry of Defence assessed as of January 2024 that Russia had the ability to “produce 100 main battle tanks per month” and could likely maintain offensive armor operations for the “foreseeable future.” Testimony from Cavoli on April 3, 2025, further increased that estimate, stating that Russia is expected to produce “1,500 tanks and 3,000 armored vehicles” in 2025.

Russia Can Afford to Take a Beating in Ukraine

Russian forces in Ukraine are suffering casualties at more than 400,000 per year — enough to pack the house at the world’s four largest stadiums. Losses

warontherocks.com

 

[Nuffle]

one of the largest combined missile-drone strikes across Ukraine in a very long time today

Russia fired 40+ Iskander ballistic missiles with impacts reported across Ukraine (including Kiev)

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40 Iskander means they fired 2x the monthly average launches in just a single night: