Terrorism inside Balochistan and the Indian Connection:
An insurgency of this magnitude cannot last without some amount of foreign support. In his book on insurgency inside Balochistan Illyas Khan commented "Intelligence agencies in Islamabad and government circles in Quetta estimate the monthly expenses of BLA’s operations to be
Rs 40-90 million."
Pakistani journalists in both English and Urdu press visualises the insurgency to be a conspiracy aimed at making Balochistan secede from the federation, with the motive being the huge natural resources and rare earth minerals that are likely to be discovered in the province.
In his article published in 2005 Moeed Yusuf stated "External powers want this resource to be governed by an independent Balochistan rather than Pakistan.“The presence of external influences in Balochistan is no hidden secret. The BLA in large part has been funded by external interests who have sought to maintain some clout in the affairs of the province.”
The members of the BLA and their affiliates appear to be trained, and the selection of targets indicates that they understand their tactical and strategic aims quite clearly. Their ability to conduct hostile surveillance, leverage social media to project their narratives and maintain an effective communication network. All these tend to indicate that at least a core group, if nota larger number of BLA members, has been trained by persons well versed in military matters.
Since the BLA is unlikely to have sympathisers inside the Pakistan Armed Forces, the clear an obvious conclusion is that these groups are receiving military training and funding from outside of Pakistan.
Pakistan maintains that India is using Baloch terrorist groups as proxies. Pakistan’s press frequently claims that Baloch terrorist groups possess highly sophisticated armaments, suggesting the possibility of foreign intervention in the conflict. In 2004, military officials were quoted as saying that over 200 Baloch rebels had been trained within Pakistan by the Indian government.
Accounts from third-party sources lend some credence to these claims. According to Christine Fair, a South-Asian expert at Georgetown University,
“It would be a mistake to completely disregard Pakistan’s regional perceptions…Indian officials have told me privately that they are pumping money into Balochistan.”
[Source: Internal Security Strategy for Pakistan,”
Pak Institute of Peace Studies (January 2011): 5.]
According to Shireen Mazari, former Director General of the Institute of Strategic Studies, Islamabad: “A pattern can be discerned which points to a deliberate targeting of communication systems and national assets, impacting the country across provincial boundaries.
With more sophisticated explosives, which demonstrate a greater access to external sources of weapons and money, the so-called BLA has moved away from targeting soft civil society targets to installations, military set-ups and communication links. The acts of sabotage are clearly not random but have careful planning behind them – as well as a certain level of technical sophistication.
And, of course, there is the very important financial aspect. All these indicators prove the strong external linkages to what is happening in Balochistan
Back in 2000's former Balochistan Chief Minister stated that RAW was running at least 40 camps in the province. They also feel that with an Indian presence on the Pak-Afghan border and in Zahidan, as explained earlier, the opportunities for sponsoring low intensity conflict have multiplied for India. The arrest in 2016 of Kulbhushan Sudhir Jadhav an Indian commander cemented the long held suspicions by Islamabad of Indian involvement within Balochistan.
Yadhav admitted his mission included meeting Baloch insurgents to conduct their shared terrorist operations. After his arrest, in one of his confessional videos, he stated, “My purpose was to hold meetings with Baloch insurgents and carry out activities with their collaboration.
These activities have been of [a] criminal nature, leading to the killing of or maiming of Pakistani citizens.”
Over the years, such incidents have deepened the suspicions that India gives both training and backing to Baloch separatist movements so they can destabilise Pakistan.
The leader of a Baloch Terrorist faction Hyrbyair Marri is on record stating that they have ties with India and India has previously expressed that it sees joint cause with the Baloch terrorist groups run by people like Hyrbyair Marri, in an article dated 2019 the author examined how India has a state driven policy to support armed insurgents inside Pakistan to "Push Balochistan Away from Pakistan [
https://www.asiasentinel.com/p/india-pushes-breakaway-balochistan]
The covert ingress of India into Pakistan can be better understood from the broader foreign policy of India often linked to the historical pronouncements of Chanakya Kautiliya, the royal advisor and statesman of ancient India.
The concept of “
Akhand Bharat” or “United/Undivided India,” extends across the Asian territory, underscoring Pakistan, Bangladesh, Afghanistan, Nepal, Burma, and others, is frequently cited.
This historical aspiration may contribute to India’s deep engagement in various aspects of its neighbouring countries, primarily Pakistan, exacerbating existing divisions via orchestrating incidents. The idea of
Akhand Bharat dates back to the third century BC and is associated with the Hindutva Ideology.
It is important to note that this ideology holds much significance for India’s current leadership i.e. Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) led by Narinder Modi. Following this ideology, India is seeking a strong foothold in the adjacent countries, mainly Pakistan. Due to this, it is intervening in Balochistan in an attempt to weaken Pakistan’s control over its regions.
For example, in December 2023, a commander from the Baloch National Army (BNA), a separatist militant group, surrendered to Pakistani authorities and subsequently revealed that India had been covertly providing financial support to separatist elements in the region and encouraging acts of terrorism within Balochistan.
Earlier, the 2022 army helicopter crash in Balochistan’s Lasbela District, which resulted in the deaths of six personnel, including two army majors, saw the secessionist group Baloch Raj Aajoi Sangar (BRAS) claim responsibility. This group also asserted that they were acting under India’s direction at the time of the incident.
Furthermore, the Indian government defends the Research and Analysis Wing’s (RAW) involvement by framing it as a response to perceived aggressive behaviour from Pakistan, suggesting its support for Baloch separatists is a function of its external intelligence operations. [Avinash Paliwal, Paul Staniland, Strategy, Secrecy, and External Support for Insurgent Groups,
International Studies Quarterly, Volume 67, Issue 1, March 2023, sqad001,]
This framing aims to position India’s actions as part of its broader counter-terrorism efforts. On the flip side, the Indian government argues that its Balochistan interventions are legitimate because of the 2008 Mumbai attack. While pointing to Pakistan-based terrorist groups as the perpetrators, this evidence is used domestically to garner support for its involvement in Balochistan. [
SAHOO, PRASANTA. “India’s Balochistan Tactic: HAS IT SHATTERED PAKISTAN’S KASHMIR DREAM?”
World Affairs: The Journal of International Issues 23, no. 2 (2019): 98–115.
https://www.jstor.org/stable/48531103.]
Covert war, through proxies and other intermediaries, would be the best strategic alternative for India – and the hallmark of India’s new strategic calculus vis-à-vis Pakistan. It is important to mention that no state would openly admit to adopting such a strategy – denial is paramount to preserve one’s image internationally and to avoid legal woes.
Nevertheless, some evidence pointing to India’s covert war is now emerging. Last year, The Guardian interviewed two Indian intelligence officials who confirmed New Delhi’s role in carrying out assassinations inside Pakistan.[
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...n-allegations-pakistan-intelligence-officials]
For several years now, India believes that her defensive offense has paid some important dividends.
A primary dividend is that India believed it had demonstrated that it can effectively climb up the escalation ladder, by starting with small arms and unconventional warfare, without starting a conventional war, and thus not risk a nuclear war. Because Pakistan is bogged down in Balochistan, as well as terrorist threats elsewhere. [
https://thefrontierpost.com/evidence-prove-india-supports-terrorism-in-balochistan-global-times/]
India has a history of interference in the domestic affairs of its neighbouring countries. With the goal to establish hegemony in South Asia and the Indian Ocean Region, India has adopted an Indo-centric strategy.
Therefore, from the beginning in 1950s and 1960s, India indulged in conflicts with China (1962 war), Pakistan (three wars), Nepal (India interfered in the internal affairs of the royal family) and Sri Lanka (India supported the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Elam (LTTE) in the Sri Lankan civil war). The aims of pursuing such policies of interference are meant to destabilise the neighbouring states and influence their foreign policy.
Although India has not been successful yet her increasing hostility with the neighbouring countries will disturb the regional peace. India always promoted and supported the sub-nationalism, secessionist movements, and insurgencies, which aim to undermine the regional peace and stability. India aspires to be the police man of the region but Pakistan has become a main obstacle in the Indian way for controlling the affairs of the South Asian region.
It is widely acknowledged that India and Pakistan’s relationship has been historically fraught. Numerous incidents have exacerbated tensions between the two nations, making the path towards lasting peace increasingly challenging. The recent Pahalgam attack against civilians (April 2025) and the Jafar Express incident in Balochistan (March 2025) reveal concerning parallels in how South Asian border militancy operates.
On May 16th 2025 another Baloch affiliated with terrorist groups operating inside Balochistan went onto Indian TV and declared "were not Pakistani and supported the people of Baharat" this at a time when both nations had come to the brink of potential nuclear war. [Times of India 16th May 2025]
The consequences of Indian support for insurgents in Balochistan could be disastrous for peace in South Asia.