If I was Putin, I won't give you my approval to sell S400.... (to avoid F35 in my south).
better worry about
Türkiye's immense technological advantage coming into the game
Why is SIPER more dangerous than S400 to intercept RAFALE over the Aegean ?
modern air warfare is no longer "Fighter Jet against Fighter Jet," but "systems against systems."
... Detection ...
A Greek RAFALE can utilize the "terrain masking" technique, flying at ultra-low altitudes behind large islands to hide from land-based Turkish early warning Radars
But , TURAF has 4 Boeing E-7T AEWC to detect the RAFALE from 350 km away
Even if RAFALE hides behind the islands, the E-7T being observing from above, completely eliminates the "radar blind spots" (terrain masking) behind the islands
on the other hand , S400 can not use NATO's link-16 System for network centric warfare
S400's radars located on the Anatolian coast can not easily track low-flying Jets at maximum range
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The Weapon Engagement
SCALP-EG's threat to SİPER Radars : SPECTRA can jam enemy Radars
but , SİPER-2 can lock onto its target using Link-16 data from the E-7T without ever activating its own search radar ( without revealing its position and without being detected by the Rafale's SPECTRA system)
The SİPER-2 air defense Missile is launched, its course is updated (mid-course correction) with data from the E-7T while in flight and in the final stage, it activates its active radar seeker head to hit the RAFALE
Range of 150+ km ... and ... speed of mach 4+
The combat scenario in the Aegean
The activation of the E-7T and the Link-16/JREAP-C network creates a huge multiplier in favor of Turkiye in the tactical balance. While the Greek RAFALE pilot thinks he is safe hiding behind the islands, the E-7T overhead spots him, passes the data to SİPER via Link-16, and SİPER silently fires the missile
The RAFALE can only detect the threat when the SİPER missile activates its radar in the terminal phase and locks onto it (in the last few seconds)
And GAME OVER !
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Unless the SİPER battery activates its own search and fire control Radars (remaining in complete electromagnetic silence, EMCON mode), the advanced SPECTRA electronic warfare system on the Greek RAFALE Fighter Jet can not detect the location of the SİPER battery
Türkiye's immense technological advantage coming into the game
Stand-off jamming determines the fate of air warfare.
When the ground-based KORAL-200 Radar EW System and the airborne ASOJ-23A stand off jammer Aircraft operate in an integrated manner
The Aegean skies are so overwhelmed with electromagnetic noise and spurious target signals (using Digital Radio Frequency Memory - DRFM technology) that SPECTRA becomes unable to distinguish the real E-7T signal from the spurious signals
Only Turkiye in the region
The AESA radar in the RAFALE is also blinded by this intense jamming. Instead of seeing the target on the screen, the radar is completely covered by interference. Because the radar is blinded, even if the RAFALE fires the METEOR missile, it cannot transmit the target coordinate data (the midpath correction link) that the Missile needs in the first phase.
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KIZILELMA's entry into the game and the Low RCS (Ghost) Advantage
The RAFALE's delta wings-canards, and most importantly, the external munitions (METEOR, SCALP, etc.) and fuel tanks carried under its wings make it appear quite large on Radar ( 1-2 m² RCS).
In contrast, the KIZILELMA, thanks to its internal weapon bays and special fuselage geometry, has a truly "low observable" profile. Its radar signature is many times smaller than that of the RAFALE ( 0.3 m² RCS vs 1-2 m² RCS )
BVR (Beyond Visual Range) Advantage
In an air combat, the first to spot and fire wins. While the RAFALE's radar is under intense Turkish jamming (KORAL-200 and ASOJ-23A) and due to the KIZILELMA's low radar cross-section, it can only detect it at a very close distance of 40-50 km.
On the other hand, the KIZILELMA, using the Link-16 system from the E-7T behind it, obtains the RAFALE's precise position and, with its domestically produced AESA radar (MURAD), locks onto the RAFALE from a distance of 150+ km
KIZILELMA to carry 185+ km GOKBORA ramjet powered air to air Missiles in internal weapon bays to hit RAFALE in BVR combat
Strategic Outcome: This fully integrated scenario we have presented is the clearest evidence that modern warfare is no longer "Fighter Jet against Fighter Jet," but "system against systems."
When Turkiye combines its E-7T (Eye), KORAL/HAVA SOJ (Shield/Blinding), SIPER-2 (Long-Range Fist), and KIZILELMA (Ghost Hunter) elements with Link-16 and JREAP-C as a single brain, Greece's RAFALE no matter how technologically advanced, become isolated and prey.
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Also , TURAF gets advanced Fighter Jets until 2030
-- 200 OZGUR-2 modernized F-16s with MURAD-100A AESA Radar and 185-200 km GOKBORA-GOKHAN ramjet powered air to air Missiles
-- 29 F-16 Block50+ with 160 km AIM-120C8 air to air Missile
-- 20 Eurofighter T-4 with METEOR air to air Missile
maybe also 12 Eurofighter T3A from Qatar
-- 20 KAAN with MURAD-600A and 200 km GOKHAN ramjet powered air to air Missile
It is highly likely that the F-35A will also come.