Türkiye vs Israel - tensions, conflicts and rivalry | Latest News and Updates
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At the same time, Turkey’s Nato membership is a notable deterrent to a clash, said Alper Coskun, a former Turkish diplomat now at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. But Coskun added that there was also a need for Turkish self-reliance at a time of upheaval and uncertainty.
“Turkey knows its overall deterrence and defense is boosted through Nato membership,” he said. But, “Ankara also knows that if and when push comes to shove, its safest bet is to also complement the benefits of alliance membership with strong indigenous capabilities and operational autonomy”.
According to Coskun, Erdogan’s government is combining defence development with political positioning, including maintaining friendly relations with US President Donald Trump, who has urged Netanyahu to “be reasonable” with Turkey.
However, hawkish elements in Washington DC think the US could ultimately back an Israeli attack on Turkey, if tensions continue to escalate.
Michael Rubin, a former Pentagon official and Turkey analyst at the American Enterprise Institute, believes that US and Israeli intelligence agencies are already tracking Turkish leaders for potential decapitation strikes, as with Iran.
And the threshold for conflict could be crossed if Turkey’s military development is perceived as an intolerable threat to Israel, he said.
“Turkey’s build-up represents a growing threat,” Rubin told The i Paper. “If any state wants to counter that threat, they have an incentive to act with surprise. Given Erdogan’s rhetoric and his increasing hostility to Israel, at some point Israeli officials are going to conclude war is inevitable and the best possible outcome would be an attempt at decapitation.”
Nato membership is likely to be of limited value in that scenario, he added, suggesting that other members might be reluctant to come to Turkey’s aid on the basis of Nato’s Article Five mutual defence pact.
“Article Five is less a barrier to conflict than Turkey and its partisans may believe,” he said. “Article Five does not automatically kick in; Nato members have to agree to it. And because Nato is consensus-driven, whether Nato would invoke mutual defence is really an open question.”
inews.co.uk
“Turkey knows its overall deterrence and defense is boosted through Nato membership,” he said. But, “Ankara also knows that if and when push comes to shove, its safest bet is to also complement the benefits of alliance membership with strong indigenous capabilities and operational autonomy”.
According to Coskun, Erdogan’s government is combining defence development with political positioning, including maintaining friendly relations with US President Donald Trump, who has urged Netanyahu to “be reasonable” with Turkey.
However, hawkish elements in Washington DC think the US could ultimately back an Israeli attack on Turkey, if tensions continue to escalate.
Michael Rubin, a former Pentagon official and Turkey analyst at the American Enterprise Institute, believes that US and Israeli intelligence agencies are already tracking Turkish leaders for potential decapitation strikes, as with Iran.
And the threshold for conflict could be crossed if Turkey’s military development is perceived as an intolerable threat to Israel, he said.
“Turkey’s build-up represents a growing threat,” Rubin told The i Paper. “If any state wants to counter that threat, they have an incentive to act with surprise. Given Erdogan’s rhetoric and his increasing hostility to Israel, at some point Israeli officials are going to conclude war is inevitable and the best possible outcome would be an attempt at decapitation.”
Nato membership is likely to be of limited value in that scenario, he added, suggesting that other members might be reluctant to come to Turkey’s aid on the basis of Nato’s Article Five mutual defence pact.
“Article Five is less a barrier to conflict than Turkey and its partisans may believe,” he said. “Article Five does not automatically kick in; Nato members have to agree to it. And because Nato is consensus-driven, whether Nato would invoke mutual defence is really an open question.”
The European country that could draw Nato into a conflict with Israel
Israeli officials have described Turkey as the 'new Iran'. Ankara is taking the threat seriously
inews.co.uk
Ali_Baba
VIP Member
“Article Five is less a barrier to conflict than Turkey and its partisans may believe,” he said. “Article Five does not automatically kick in; Nato members have to agree to it. And because Nato is consensus-driven, whether Nato would invoke mutual defence is really an open question.”
The European country that could draw Nato into a conflict with Israel
Israeli officials have described Turkey as the 'new Iran'. Ankara is taking the threat seriously
I am not so sure that the members of NATO will let NATO die that easily just because Israel wants a war, and the barrier for Israel to attack Türkiye is far higher than he suggests.
Israel has been exposed to be quite vulnerable, and Türkiye will fight any war through a "less over thinking/intellectual" lens that Iran has. Iran has failed to impose a real cost on Israel and it is obvious by all to see that Israel is no longer deterred by Iran as it once was and the fault for that lies with Iran's military tactics. Hitting Tel Aviv is pointless yet Iran continues to waste missiles on it and in doing so, ignores significant economic and military targets whose destruction will have long term strategic impact on Israel. eg why hasn't Iran taken out the Intel Fabs in Israel??? They are worth tens of billions of dollars, yet Iran continues to ignore them? That is how flawed Iran's military tactics have been.
Türkiye will not fight the same way, Türkiye will fight properly and impose a real cost on Israel, and Israel knows that.
hyperman
INT'L MOD
Its the usual neocon drivel. They are starting a Whisper campaign against Turkey.
hyperman
INT'L MOD
For some delusional reason they keep thinking that Iran is gone and they have already won and now they have the luxury of moving on to Turkey. lol
Oublious
Registered Member
final fantasy, they will not fight the war. they have goyims like greece and cyprus what will do the work for them.
i found this one as answer....
PK781
Trusted Member
make no mistake, their next target is Turkiye because israel will want to remove any strong muslim nations in its way. Turkiye is a big brave nation and israel will use america to create unrest and then war.
Just a matter of time......i hope Turkiye is preparing well for the encounter and ready to batter their heads into sand.
Just a matter of time......i hope Turkiye is preparing well for the encounter and ready to batter their heads into sand.
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