United States elections 2024
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Yommie
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Trump leads Harris in new Arizona presidential poll
A new poll shows former President Donald Trump has a slight edge over Vice President Kamala Harris in Arizona.
Yommie
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New North Carolina poll shows state could again vote red for president, blue for governor
In 2016 and 2020, NC voters selected a Republican for president and a Democrat for governor. That pattern could repeat in 2024.
abc11.com
New North Carolina poll shows state could again vote red for president, blue for governor
ByTom George
Tuesday, August 27, 2024 5:59PM
In 2016 and 2020, NC voters selected a Republican for president and a Democrat for governor. That pattern could repeat in 2024.
In 2016 and 2020, NC voters selected a Republican for president and a Democrat for governor. That pattern could repeat in 2024.
RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) -- With North Carolina in the national spotlight for the 2024 Election, a new poll sponsored by Elon University is shedding light on how the races for president and governor are shaping up.
In both 2016 and 2020, North Carolina voters split their tickets -- voting for Republican Donald Trump to be president and Democrat Roy Cooper to be governor. Polling suggests a similar outcome could happen in 2024, even without Cooper on the ticket.
The new poll from Elon University found both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump viewed favorably by just about half of voters.
That similar favorability means the presidential race in North Carolina -- and subsequently the state's key 16 electoral votes -- is a tossup. This is corroborated by the amount of attention both campaigns have given North Carolina, with each visiting multiple times over the last several weeks.
Polling for the governor's race is much different. The same responders in the poll favored Democrat Josh Stein to Republican Mark Robinson by a 14-point margin.
"This is not because Stein is exceptionally popular his numbers are about like that of Harris, but rather Stein's 14-point lead in favorability is because Robinson is far less popular than Trump among both Republicans and independents. The Trump base in North Carolina among Republicans and the Trump-leaning Independents are not going to Robinson at the level that one may have expected early on in this campaign," said Jason Husser, the director of the Elon University poll.
Trump and Robinson are closely aligned politically and have even campaigned together as recently as last week in Asheboro, but the poll director believes there could be a reason for the difference in popularity.
It was Trump's first outdoor campaign event away from one of his properties since the rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, where a gunman tried to assassinate him.
"Donald Trump is a unique figure in American political history, we will be talking the idiosyncratic nature of Trump in politics for years in the future. Robinson while having some of the same positions as Trump is not Trump, and so we haven't seen some of that support carry over with other Republicans," Husser said.
Robinson's campaign doesn't believe that difference will hurt his chances, telling ABC11 in a statement:
"Polls have consistently underestimated Republican support in North Carolina for several cycles now and with a large portion of the electorate still undecided as we continue to ramp up our efforts on the ground and on the airwaves, Mark Robinson remains in a strong position to win in November."
In an era of political division and polarization, ticket splitting is becoming more rare. In fact, 85 percent of North Carolinians polled said they would be voting the same party in both major races, but the poll found about 1 in 6 North Carolinians are open to voting for different parties for President and Governor.
And in a close race, that could be decisive as in was in 2016 and 2020. But who are these Trump-Cooper or potential Trump-Stein voters?
"The people who are splitting their ticket are often people who are not necessarily moderate, they're not necessarily independents, but they're not people who define themselves based on their attachment to a political party so closer to the middle than the far right or the far left," Husser said.
The poll also found that the economy was important to 90 percent of North Carolinians in that poll. It also found North Carolinians are worried about the aftermath of the election, almost 75 percent of voters were concerned about the possibility of political violence after the election.
Yommie
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Harris holds edge over Trump in key swing state Michigan: poll
While Vice President Kamala Harris continues to lead former president Donald Trump in favorability, nearly 25% of Michigan voters have not yet decided on who they will vote for in November, a poll …
nypost.com
Harris holds edge over Trump in key swing state Michigan: poll
By
Thérèse Boudreaux
Published Aug. 27, 2024, 4:13 p.m. ET
(The Center Square) — While Vice President Kamala Harris continues to lead former president Donald Trump in favorability, nearly 25% of Michigan voters have not yet decided on who they will vote for in November, a poll released over the weekend reveals.
American Greatness and TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics conducted an online survey of 1,001 registered Michigan voters from Aug. 20-22.
The weighted sample consisted of 35% Democrats, 33% Republicans, and 29% independents.
3 According to a new poll, Vice President Kamala Harris has a lead over former President Donald Trump in terms of favorability in Michigan. Jasper Colt/USA TODAY / USA TODAY NETWORK
Consistent with recent polling, Harris maintains a slight lead over Trump, 48% to 46% among the 741 respondents the survey identifies as likely voters. The results fall within the poll’s ±3.7 margin of error.
Although 70% of voters on both sides say they strongly support the candidate they’ve decided on, 24% of all voters surveyed say they are still deciding on who to vote for.
The results come as 64% of voters say they were better off four years ago at the closing of Trump’s term, with 29% preferring their situation now.
3 Trump speaking at a campaign office in in Roseville, Michigan on Aug. 26, 2024. AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster
Trump continues to lead by a significant margin on the top issues voters are concerned about, with all voters surveyed trusting Trump over Harris 49% to 43% on the economy and 56% trusting Trump to handle the border, versus only 34% preferring Harris.
On improving national security, respondents chose Trump over Harris 52% to 39%. Voters favor him slightly over Harris, 45% to 41%, when it comes to cutting spending.
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Voters believe Harris would better reduce crime than Trump, though the margin is only by 1 percentage point.
3 Harris speaking at a campaign rally at United Auto Workers Local 900 in Wayne, Michigan on Aug. 8, 2024. Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
Cartel-related crime, violent crimes, and theft have risen across the country during the Biden-Harris administration, which Trump has repeatedly lambasted on social media.
What do you think? Post a comment.
Regarding the state’s U.S. Senate race, Democrat Rep. Elissa Slotkin still leads former Rep. Mike Rogers at 49% to 39% among likely voters surveyed.
Yommie
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RFK Jr. won't be able to remove himself from ballots in Michigan and Wisconsin
Election officials in the two swing states confirm that Kennedy's name will remain on their ballots despite his decision to drop out and back Trump.
www.nbcnews.com
RFK Jr. won't be able to remove himself from ballots in Michigan and Wisconsin
Election officials in the two swing states confirm that Kennedy's name will remain on their ballots despite his decision to drop out and back Trump.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says he won't remove his name from ballots in "red" or "blue" states so his supporters can vote for him without affecting the results of the election. Shannon Finney / Getty Images
By Ben Kamisar
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will be unable to remove himself from the ballots in the key swing states of Michigan and Wisconsin, election officials confirmed Tuesday, days after he ended his independent presidential campaign and endorsed former President Donald Trump.
Kennedy is on the ballot in Michigan as a candidate for the Natural Law Party, which nominated him at its convention this year. Cheri Hardmon, a spokesperson for the Michigan secretary of state's office, confirmed that "minor party candidates cannot withdraw, so his name will remain on the ballot in the November election."
In Wisconsin, the state election commission met Tuesday to certify ballot access for presidential and vice presidential candidates. Even though Kennedy asked to withdraw his nomination petition as an independent candidate, the commission voted to decline the request, according to an archived video of the proceedings published by WisconsinEye, a nonprofit public affairs network.
"The statute literally says, 'Any person who files nomination papers and qualifies to appear on the ballot may not decline nomination. The name of that person shall appear upon the ballot except in case of death of the person,'" Ann Jacobs, the chair of the commission, told another commissioner struggling with the idea of keeping someone on the ballot who didn't want to move forward with his or her candidacy.
"You're giving me this touchy-feely: 'I feel like this shouldn't be the law.' The law in this case is crystal clear," she added. "I don't disagree with you — it's weird, but I don't see we have any discretion here."
It's possible that Kennedy might also face issues removing himself from the ballot in other traditional battleground states, NPR reported Tuesday.
In his speech Friday dropping out of the race and backing Trump, Kennedy said he would work to remove his name from ballots in states where he could play a spoiler role.
"In about 10 battleground states where my presence would be a spoiler, I'm going to remove my name, and I've already started that process and urge voters not to vote for me," Kennedy said.
"Our polling consistently showed by staying on the ballot in the battleground states, I would likely hand the election over to the Democrats, with whom I disagree on the most existential issues," he added.
But Kennedy added that he wouldn't remove his name from ballots in "red" or "blue" states in the hope of giving his supporters a chance to vote for him without affecting the results of the election. Kentucky Secretary of State Michael Adams, for instance, announced Monday that Kennedy would be placed on the ballot in the solidly Republican state.
It's unlikely Kennedy will draw significant numbers of votes in states where he remains on the ballot, as he's no longer actively campaigning and is supporting a different candidate. But his decision to drop out had been seen as a marginal boost to Trump, as he had been more likely to pull from voters who would choose Trump in a head-to-head matchup with Vice President Kamala Harris
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