USA's renewed Interest in Pakistan - Implications for India









Am posting here few articles, just to given a chronology of events happening around India. This is to give an idea of recent events, between US and Pakistan. Pakistan is a sovereign nation, and has every right to take its own decisions first of all. However as a neighbor, India will be keeping a watch as there will be effects of short and long term significance for us. I believe Pakistan will be doing the same, so this is just an attempt to understand what might be happening and can affect us. Having said that:

I believe that Mr Munir's visit to USA isn't just to get their blessing, to continue in his current position. Given Pakistan's economic issues, and Chinese slowing down in further investments into CPEC, and taking time to rolling over the loans (which happened eventually, post Western approval and then Saudi help) Pakistan is re-aligning towards West now. Considering US and Chinese duking it out, Pakistan seems to be back in significance.

I have attached few articles, at the time when CPEC was in full swing. Back in 2011 and 2012 PLA soldiers seemed to have been spotted, in Gligit Baltistan. General Jacob from India seemed to have written a article on this, but India just didn't make any noise on this (not sure if some discussions happened, but nothing in public). Its not a secret that Chinese to secure their energy supply, have been working on getting a route through Pakistan (to avoid Malacca Straits). If this happens US will not be able to contain China, so making sure this doesn't happen is but logical.

In light of above, its very much possible that US's hasty retreat (where they left back billions of dollars worth arms and ammunitions), was no mistake. They seemed to have done this, to make sure there is supply of arms to parties they might have been in touch with. It helped very much in destabilizing Pakistan (via TTP), and there have been some devastating attacks inside their country. Prior to IK's ouster, Pakistan was well on its way to form a proper axis with China and Russia. Chinese entry into Middle East (Iran and Saudi deal), and its BRI have also spooked USA for sure. What better way to cut this down to size, right at the starting point that is Pakistan from where it begins and is close to Chinese border itself?

Pakistan's economic problem has been properly utilized by US, in its plan to contain China. In a way Pakistan has been brow beaten by USA, to get back into its fold and away from China. It is also possible that USA will be getting a secret drone base in Balochistan (or already got access), to keep an eye on this region. India's own issues with USA is another reason, and then there is Iran. Pakistan is the perfect point, to keep an eye on Pakistan itself along with India/China/Iran.

The last article if you see, puts Pakistan on the list of 'Countries of particular interest to USA'. It feels like our region is going to see, lot of chaos in this power game that is starting again. Now I can be totally wrong in my reading, so will welcome any corrections. Thanks for reading

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ہم لوگوں کو لڑاتے رہیں گے اور پیسے کھاتے رہیں گے۔
 
ہم لوگوں کو لڑاتے رہیں گے اور پیسے کھاتے رہیں گے۔
Interesting reply sir ji, kahi aap bade saab ki baat to nahi kar rahe.
 
Betting on US is betting on a losing horse. 10 years from now everyone can see it.
 
Working relationship between USA and Pakistan is a plus for the region. It is not at the expense of China or India
 
Betting on US is betting on a losing horse. 10 years from now everyone can see it.

COAS visits USA recently and within days of his return Air Chief announce to obtains J-31 in the presence of COAS. This announcement is more of a geopolitical in nature than any substantial immediate need or new development. It tells that COAS reception in US was considers not good enough and he reciprocated it in words through his Air Chief (Remember this is the only COAS in Pakistan history who never ever on "Crash Course" on any western (US/UK) country before becoming COAS.)
 
Actually there is no renewed interest in Pakistan. HST USA will not support any isolation movement against Pakistan. And HST USA wants Pakistan to choose between USA 🇺🇸 and China 🇨🇳 and that is next to impossible at this stage in time.
 
Pakistan just bought possibly 80-90 J-31/35 (a few billion dollars) and Indians have concluded that Pakistan is collapsing and China will invade it along with India
 
Actually there is no renewed interest in Pakistan. HST USA will not support any isolation movement against Pakistan. And HST USA wants Pakistan to choose between USA 🇺🇸 and China 🇨🇳 and that is next to impossible at this stage in time.
True for Pakistan, given its current situation. However the tug of war will mean, at some point the decision has to be made?
 
Actually there is no renewed interest in Pakistan. HST USA will not support any isolation movement against Pakistan. And HST USA wants Pakistan to choose between USA 🇺🇸 and China 🇨🇳 and that is next to impossible at this stage in time.

The best way to piss Indians is to woo Pakistanis...US just doing that. India under Modi trying to grow disproportionately and sole Super power doesn't allows it..that's it.

Indians (RSS ideology behinds) surely itching on their way to meet their Panipat moment of 21st Century, they are extremely inexperienced to handle Power in a fruitful way historically (just check their recent spat with tiny Maldives, it tells a lot about their chronic ill)
 
True for Pakistan, given its current situation. However the tug of war will mean, at some point the decision has to be made?
China is way ahead of the USA in it's offers but that doesn't mean USA can't catch up!!!
 
Disagree

Plans will only speed up, as he is even more anti China. Problem isn't them fighting a war, but financing one. Who they will use for it, remains to be seen.
All he cares about is money. He exited the TPP. Wouldn't have done that if he was anti China.

He hates China because it sells more to the US than purchases from the US.
 
does not know about the implications for india but it is certainly bad for Pakistan!
 
The US wants Pakistan to stay clear of China as much as possible, but even US knows, pragmatically, Pakistan will not come out of China’s orbit completely.

On a broader realm, challenging times for Pakistan. They need to tread these waters very carefully. A neutral stance with balancing its relations with all parties (US, China, Russia) is the right way.

Lets hope the Generals don’t wake up one day to other ideas again.
 

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