Negotiations for F35 and India specific Modifications will also take atleast 10 years and first flight of AMCA is scheduled in september 2028, and service Induction by 2032,
F35 will need to Have Indian Mission Computer, Indian Radar, Indian EW Suite, Indian Data link and a lot of other modifications to communicate with Indian NETRA AWACS, Tejas and Su30MKI
176 Rafale deal worth 70 billion dollars is all about the next generation fighter jet engine India and France are co developing to power AMCA and Tejas MK2 the engine deal itself costs 8 billion dollars otherwise there was no point in rafale deal either becaue Tejas MK2 is also scheduled to have first flight next year in september
Pakistan also operates F-16s and Saab AWACS, so Pakistan Air Force is not entirely based on Chinese systems. Pakistan aims to develop a fully integrated force built around Chinese platforms, that transition will take 15–20 years. By that time, Indian Air Force will have the AMCA, Tejas Mk1A, Tejas Mk2, Super Sukhoi, and the next batch of Rafales, which will also come equipped with Indian avionics.
In my opinion, the Indian Air Force is at least 15-16 years behind where it should be. Looking back, India could have seriously considered local production of the Eurofighter Typhoon around 2010 to strengthen its fighter fleet and industrial base. For years, many Indian politicians portrayed Pakistan as an economically weak country with limited capabilities. However, despite numerous economic and political challenges, Pakistan managed to maintain its military capabilities and, at times, surprise India strategically. One factor often overlooked is the extensive military and financial support Pakistan received from the China over several decades.
Today, India faces some difficult decisions regarding its future fighter fleet. The choices surrounding additional Rafales, the Su-57, and other advanced platforms will have long-term consequences. Even if the F-35 were offered, its operation could come with restrictions given India's longstanding defense relationship with Russia.
That said, the Tejas program should not be viewed as a failure. Over the past three decades, India has gained invaluable experience in aircraft design, systems integration, testing, and aerospace manufacturing. Those lessons can play a critical role in ensuring that the Tejas Mk2 and the Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft (AMCA) program avoid many of the setbacks that affected earlier projects.
Personally, I believe India should consider a European engine solution rather than relying heavily on American, particularly if long-term strategic autonomy is a priority.
As of now, the Tejas Mk2 is still in the prototype development and testing phase and has not entered full-scale production. The timeline for extensive testing, certification, and eventual induction will depend on how successfully the flight-test program progresses. Likewise, the AMCA remains a highly ambitious project that will require years of prototype development, testing, certification, and industrial preparation before meaningful production can begin. Both programs represent important milestones in India's pursuit of self-reliance in military aviation, but they will require sustained investment, realistic timelines, and disciplined execution to succeed.