Discussion: Assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran

[mangekyo]

last time 9 / 100 missiles got through even with massive telegraphing and using mostly older missiles

without telegraphing and using only 2020+ missiles should increase that to 20%+ even in the first wave with peak Israeli ABM capability

but indeed, the longer we wait, the more missiles have to be deployed to achieve the same objective...

They also brought much more equipment compared to last time.

 

[Persian Gulf]

They also brought much more equipment compared to last time.

I don't think they did

the number of Arrow and Patriot batteries did not change. they still don't have THAAD. only two US destroyers are in the Med waiting to help. that might even be fewer than last time.

and the number of missiles from Iran will be higher as well.

 

[jauk]

Is tonite the night?

Unlikely, with Iran meeting with Arab countries tommorrow it seems that Iran will not attack tonite either. Their response time is glacial. As it’s been a week since the assassination.

It’s 11 PM in Tehran let’s see what iran does

Free hoagies tomorrow?

 

[Immortals]

[Iran] wastes its weapons for a show back home.

That is exactly how Iran responds. Over exaggerated theatrics is their calling card.

They can do the shadow game (cultivate foreign legions and build up miltias and weapon transfers) very well. But the direct conflict game they are very novice and phobic. And I’ll add their spy v spy game is god awful.

 

[Immortals]

Free hoagies tomorrow?

Are you working tomm at the sandwhich shop? Please deliver them some sandwhiches while they frolick among the Arabs

 

[Persian Gulf]

Free hoagies tomorrow?

Are you working tomm at the sandwhich shop? Please deliver them some sandwhiches while they frolick among the Arabs

come on guys, stay on topic

 

[Afif]

@Persian Gulf several days after Iran declared it will respond to Israel's assassination, we decided topple our own oppressive regime, and then the next day we gone out in the streets, fought with blood and fire and brought down the evil Hassina regime. Then came back to see if Iran has responded yet. I see you guys are still 'preparing'.

 

[maverick]

Things are looking Dicey... Most of the flights pattern has shifted from Iran and Iraq to Egypt, Saudi and Then to Qatar and UAE.

Something is brewing now

 

[Dariush-e Bozorg]

The key figures deciding the response like Khamenei, Hajizadeh, Bagheri are quiet. We can only know the response status if one of them has an announcement or speech, preferably Khamenei.

 

[Persian Gulf]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1820918373481386410

 

[Persian Gulf]

The key figures deciding the response like Khamenei, Hajizadeh, Bagheri are quiet. We can only know the response status if one of them has an announcement or speech, preferably Khamenei.

I read one report that Khamenei asked military officials to improve their defensive measures at key sites in preparation for the strike

that is a somewhat feasible explanation for the delay

 

[hasn2009]

Right now everyone is shouting attack attack, and once its done without enough preparation to stop/manage the retaliation, then the same people will say, why they attacked when they hadn't prepared for defense of important installations.

Iran is not like Yemen or Lebanon, they have prized targets, military, civilian, commercial, cultural and every other kind, they really need to prepare for its defense.

 

[Persian Gulf]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1820924670310269213

Right now everyone is shouting attack attack, and once its done without enough preparation to stop/manage the retaliation, then the same people will say, why they attacked when they hadn't prepared for defense of important installations.

Iran is not like Yemen or Lebanon, they have prized targets, military, civilian, commercial, cultural and every other kind, they really need to prepare for its defense.

I agree but they should already have these measures in place. the region has been on the cusp of war for a long time, they should have been preparing for this already ... but it always looks like they are a step behind.

 

[mangekyo]

Right now everyone is shouting attack attack, and once its done without enough preparation to stop/manage the retaliation, then the same people will say, why they attacked when they hadn't prepared for defense of important installations.

Iran is not like Yemen or Lebanon, they have prized targets, military, civilian, commercial, cultural and every other kind, they really need to prepare for its defense.

Because we went through 45 years of sanction, boycott, poverty etc in the name of that they are preparing us for this confrontation and it turns out we aren’t prepared.

 

[925boy]

I haven't seen evidence of another country's ballistic missiles having a 50% failure rate but this is indeed the price paid when sacrificing quality for quantity

Because most countries that have ballistic missiles have not fired them in real war scenarios recently, and if they have, they have definitely not done so with quantity. Iran is the main power that has frequently and effectively fired ballistic missiles recently. Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia etc,. - they all claim to have BMs deployed, but when last did they fire them in real battlefield scenarios? Now when did they fire them against advanced western countries? We cant compare Iran's BM success rate against countries that have BMs but last used them was decades ago. Respectfully!