Indian General Election 2024: News & Discussion

[Migflug]

I had said many times Modi always gives stretched target if opposition did not fall for it they could have done even better or worse if BJP voter got complacent. Post poll data will show.

This was third Modi third term which is unprecedented and first PM to do this. Nehru did it but his first term was not election. Anti incumbency played part also.

UP is a big time blunder. Friction between Modi/Shah with cost them 30 seats

 

[Paitoo]

There might some wrong analysis because I might not have seem final table but here you go.

BJP performance was subpar in many states specially UP, Rajasthan ,WB and to some extent Maharstra. Rahul and Akhilesh came out as star in opposition.

AAP is history and congress has better chance to revive of they choose steps woswly.

Likely out come will be Modi will still be PM at-least at start but as they don’t have full majority few coalition partners specially Andhara CM Naidu and Bihar CM Nitiah will have much bigger say. So if they pull support well …. Modi gotta Go.

As BJP will not have full majority I don't expect any major reform going through so it wil be basically state of quo. Judiciary, UCC…. none of this will be talked about.

Rammandir / Kashmir had zero impact on outcome.
I personally feel India will be very unstable specially there will be lot more protest and blockades starting very soon….

Policy wise Modi will become more socialist so India progress will hover around 6% - 7%max

There were some positive for BJP allies also.

- Face saving was in AP , Bihar and Odisa. - BJP/NDA did win four state elections and opposition none in two state which was not there before which are AP and Odisa. Sikkim and Arunachal are other two. - Opposition did not win any atate election.
- BJP first time won seat in Kerala.
- Kashmir also rejected both Abdullah and Mufti

Coalition wise BJP needs some more friends such in Punjab and might go back to UT in Maharastra as although SS did better their seat count is way down as they have to share seat.

Basically most hated people on this forum “cow belt” gave opposition most seats and cut Modi victory margin.

Ram Mandir turned out to be the most hollow achievement politically. Not that the Mandir is useless, but I always said among my friend circle that its political importance is overstated. People have short memories. They all basked in the euphoria of the inauguration and now life is back to normal. Roti kapda makaan.

I agree on the instability part. INDI has smelled blood and they will try to make the govt's life miserable. They can't do it in parliament because NDA has majority, but they will do it outside it. More protests, more scathing criticism using paid sources, undermining India internationally will increase. They have another 5 years to spend in the opposition and it will not be easy once this euphoria of 235 seats goes away

 

[Sharma Ji]

Half the people in my office are in shock
NDA is still winning
But some of the reactions I am getting is hilarious

what kind of reactions, tell us more.

 

[Sharma Ji]

Modi won !! woohoo

 

[nibba]

It's over hindubros

Gazwa e hind confirmed

 

[Justin TruDont]

So the Horse Trading has officially commenced

Rumors have come true

Sharad Pawar has called up Biju Patnaik of BJD for support

INDI have officially offered Deputy PM's post to Nitish Kumar

They have also offered Special Status for Andhra Pradesh to woo TDP which is going to be in power in AP

JDU and TDP are counting on plump Ministries from BJP , to remain with the NDA.

Next 2 days we are going to see lots of back and forth

 

[Justin TruDont]

I am Going back to Canada
If Pappu Becomes the PM

 

[JaneBhiDoYaaron]

UP is a big time blunder. Friction between Modi/Shah with cost them 30 seats

I am not aware of friction, can you shed some light.

 

[Joe Shearer]

Wait so the news the BJP should be worried how accurate is that? It all seems in the air at the moment. I think they will be able to form a government with a coalition.

They will, on the face of it.

Two points, perhaps three.

Earlier (2019) the party had got a majority (272) seats on its own, so it's coalition partners were arm candy. This time they have not yet got that far. They are therefore exposed to power plays by partners.
Second, there are two partners, Nitish Kumar in Bihar and Naidu in AP, who look like candidates for switching.
Third, there is widespread speculation about MoSha being challenged by Aditya + Gadkari, the latter the darling of the RSS.


Bottom line, I am eating humble pie, and will pause just to state that the Indian electorate has to explain itself to nobody at all.

 

[JaneBhiDoYaaron]

Ram Mandir turned out to be the most hollow achievement politically. Not that the Mandir is useless, but I always said among my friend circle that its political importance is overstated. People have short memories. They all basked in the euphoria of the inauguration and now life is back to normal. Roti kapda makaan.

I agree on the instability part. INDI has smelled blood and they will try to make the govt's life miserable. They can't do it in parliament because NDA has majority, but they will do it outside it. More protests, more scathing criticism using paid sources, undermining India internationally will increase. They have another 5 years to spend in the opposition and it will not be easy once this euphoria of 235 seats goes away

It was not build for votes but for aastha. Media made drama out of it. BIP never compromised on it even when they had 2 members and I am ok if BJP gets back to 2 as long as they fulfilled their promise.

 

[JaneBhiDoYaaron]

So the Horse Trading has officially commenced

Rumors have come true

Sharad Pawar has called up Biju Patnaik of BJD for support

INDI have officially offered Deputy PM's post to Nitish Kumar

They have also offered Special Status for Andhra Pradesh to woo TDP which is going to be in power in AP

JDU and TDP are counting on plump Ministries from BJP , to remain with the NDA.

Next 2 days we are going to see lots of back and forth

I think it would be sducidal for Chandrababu or nithis to do at this time. Might be one yesr doen the road sure.

Also street goes both ways as much as Thakre getting praised in Maharashtra he knows his seats are half now compared to what he had with BJP. Politics is very slimy subject.

 

[Mr X]

They will, on the face of it.

Two points, perhaps three.

Earlier (2019) the party had got a majority (272) seats on its own, so it's coalition partners were arm candy. This time they have not yet got that far. They are therefore exposed to power plays by partners.
Second, there are two partners, Nitish Kumar in Bihar and Naidu in AP, who look like candidates for switching.
Third, there is widespread speculation about MoSha being challenged by Aditya + Gadkari, the latter the darling of the RSS.


Bottom line, I am eating humble pie, and will pause just to state that the Indian electorate has to explain itself to nobody at all.

I remember you predicted 294 seats for bjp if I remember correctly.. it’s so close to reality. Well done for the prediction

 

[Joe Shearer]

I remember you predicted 294 seats for bjp if I remember correctly.. it’s so close to reality. Well done for the prediction

Amazing victory for the electoral system.

 

[Justin TruDont]

I remember you predicted 294 seats for bjp if I remember correctly.. it’s so close to reality. Well done for the prediction

So Joe Shearer managed to defeat every single exit poll

Maybe he should run the campaign for Rahul Gandhi in 2029

I can just predict BJPs Next campaign slogan

Yogi Hai toh Mumkin Hai

Modi is likely to be a spent force by 2029

 

[Joe Shearer]

So Joe Shearer managed to defeat every single exit poll

Maybe he should run the campaign for Rahul Gandhi in 2029

I can just predict BJPs Next campaign slogan

Yogi Hai toh Mumkin Hai

Modi is likely to be a spent force by 2029

I oppose the Congress.

What's nice about this outcome is watching the bhakts and pseudo bhakts in their agony. No comment needed, just the pure pleasure of observing their calisthenics.