Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

I wake up to the news, Iran threatens to bomb Europe in retaliation to Europe potential involvement into the war.
Where the nearest bomb shelter?
 


latest
 
Seems the US/Israeli alliance prepare a ground invasion of Iran backed by Kurdish and other opposition army groups.

 
Iraqis are clashing with americans in green zone, it would be great strategic victory if americans are kicked out from Iraq, Iran will get more breathing space.

They basically evacuated Iraq already. Take the very large and important Ain al-Asad Airbase as an example. At the moment, the Americans are focusing on Erbil and KRG. Probably in anticipation of this war.



Fake. Azerbaijan has neither the military power nor Turkey's backing to push through with a massive military project like this.



How would you define 'the West'? Do you consider Turkey to be part of the collective West? If that's the case, then the Ukrainians got Turkish support right from the beginning. Today, Kiev remains free from Russian control thanks to the Turkish drones and missiles that were sent in during the early days of the war and just before it began. The Russians had to retreat from land in northern Ukraine, partly because of significant Turkish involvement while the Europeans were still discussing what to do. Yet, the Russians would pick Ankara over Tehran in a heartbeat because they are completely untrustworthy.

I said it before the war, that the west would try to create a Kurdistan using the Kurds in Iraq and it will then be a 4D chess move against Turkey (which is their next target).

So if Turkey sits ideally by while they carve out an Iraqi+Irani Kurdistan. It’s only a matter of time before they say “hey we should take part of Turkey too”. Then if Turkey retaliates the Israeli’s will paint Erdogan as killing peaceful posters and stopping Kurds from having rights.

Turkey should be very careful here and not assume because it’s a part of NATO and has US nuclear weapons on its soil that it’s safe. As Israel and U.S. have shown, they don’t fight with honor. They fight with trickery.
Turkey's involvement hinges on various factors that I won't delve into here, as it's not the right subject. Just a quick note: Turkey has long sought for Iraq to label the PKK as a terrorist group but has been unsuccessful for many years, primarily due to Iran's influence. The Shia factions in Baghdad turned down Turkey's requests because the IRI leadership opposed it.

They only accepted to refer to PKK as 'banned organisations' in 2024-2025.


Still not labeled as a terrorist organization by Baghdad.

Another brilliant, long-term, multi-step, 4D chess move by IRI decision-makers. So, hopefully you understand and accept the shortsighted policy of Iran in this whole case.
 
There is little meaningful support - like weapons or ammunitions - when there are 1,000 sorties per day. Anything bigger than a mouse will get detected and neutralized.
The hope of some that China or Russia will somehow start flying in weapons is silly. If they ever decided to go all in like Vietnam I picture a scene like the movie Casino where two made men were scamming the Casino Sam (De Niro) Rothstein is running and Nicky (Joe Pesci) goes to confront them giving them a onetime warning out of respect since they were made men. I picture Orangeman sending Rubio to give China and Russia a onetime warning out of respect since they are military powers that the next flight to Iran carrying weapons will be shot down or sunk if by ship. Maybe any other president would look the other way but not Orangeman he will call their bluff and shoot them down and tell them your move.
 
They basically evacuated Iraq already. Take the very large and important Ain al-Asad Airbase as an example. At the moment, the Americans are focusing on Erbil and KRG. Probably in anticipation of this war.



Fake. Azerbaijan has neither the military power nor Turkey's backing to push through with a massive military project like this.



How would you define 'the West'? Do you consider Turkey to be part of the collective West? If that's the case, then the Ukrainians got Turkish support right from the beginning. Today, Kiev remains free from Russian control thanks to the Turkish drones and missiles that were sent in during the early days of the war and just before it began. The Russians had to retreat from land in northern Ukraine, partly because of significant Turkish involvement while the Europeans were still discussing what to do. Yet, the Russians would pick Ankara over Tehran in a heartbeat because they are completely untrustworthy.


Turkey's involvement hinges on various factors that I won't delve into here, as it's not the right subject. Just a quick note: Turkey has long sought for Iraq to label the PKK as a terrorist group but has been unsuccessful for many years, primarily due to Iran's influence. The Shia factions in Baghdad turned down Turkey's requests because the IRI leadership opposed it.

They only accepted to refer to PKK as 'banned organisations' in 2024-2025.


Still not labeled as a terrorist organization by Baghdad.

Another brilliant, long-term, multi-step, 4D chess move by IRI decision-makers. So, hopefully you understand and accept the shortsighted policy of Iran in this whole case.
So what happens if the next missile out of Iran heading towards Turkey is "missed" by SM-3 and hits inside Turkey? Will they retaliate on their own or invoke article 5?
 
I hope what Iranis say about elongation of the war through less launches everyday is actually true. I am actually concerned about Enemies destroying Missile bases and missile fuel facilities.
 

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