Immortals
Elite Member
The IRGC would never give up on their MRBMs and I can understand why. Because it is Iran's only deterrence at this point.
What deterrence? Iran is literally being attacked for the 2nd time in 1 year.
The deterrence Iran had was actually:
“Oil deterrence” of 2000-2010
Weak presidents who didn’t want to start a war with Iran
2008 Global Financial Crisis
An Axis of Resistance of foreign legions
Iran’s entrenchment in Syria
Missiles were just the cherry on top, not the primary cause.
However since 2008, US has become a massive oil producer. OPEC has pumped record levels to offset Iranian oil production. And the foreign legions have been significantly weakened and Iran has had to flee Syria.
Iran’s deterrence was really its wide influence in the region and the U.S. reliance on Middle East oil. All of that has changed in the past decade.
US is in the best position to deal with Iran since 2010. Sure in 2005 it would probably have been much easier since Iran had no air defenses and just a highly inaccurate Shahab-3, but better late then never.






