Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[tsunset]

Its on MehrNews Itaa channel and in this article

حمله به الحدیده هرگز باعث توقف عملیات نظامی یمن نخواهد شد

مقامات یمنی اعلام کردند که حمله رژیم صهیونیستی به بندر «الحدیده» یمن به هیچ وجه باعث توقف عملیات نظامی یمن علیه این رژیم نخواهد شد.

www.mehrnews.com

I hope they apply this soon

No one should be spared, this civilian protecting rule should be deleted in all resistance factions

 

[Nuffle]

Israel claiming they won’t stop till Hezbollah has been dismantled

https://twitter.com/x/status/1840616833453269425

@Persian Gulf

Decisive Victory.

Israel’s defensive strategy is based on 4 pillars:
A - Deterrence
B - Early warning
C - Active defense
D - Decisive victory

“Deterrence” and “Early Warning” failed on October 7, 2023, the Shin Bet chief himself took responsibility, but the other pillars were put in place to mitigate collateral damage. Of all of them, “Decisive Victory” is the most dramatic for the IDF if “Deterrence” fails. Israel may have no choice but to regain this Deterrence by driving Hezbollah beyond the Litani River.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Decisive Victory.

Israel’s defensive strategy is based on 4 pillars:
A - Deterrence
B - Early warning
C - Active defense
D - Decisive victory

“Deterrence” and “Early Warning” failed on October 7, 2023, the Shin Bet chief himself took responsibility, but the other pillars were put in place to mitigate collateral damage. Of all of them, “Decisive Victory” is the most dramatic for the IDF if “Deterrence” fails. Israel may have no choice but to regain this Deterrence by driving Hezbollah beyond the Litani River.

they are not talking about Litani River anymore, they are talking about destroying Hezbollah as a functional organisation like they destroyed Hamas/PIJ

 

[Nuffle]

they are not talking about Litani River anymore, they are talking about destroying Hezbollah as a functional organisation like they destroyed Hamas/PIJ

There is no way to decisively destroy Hezbollah militarily without invading all of Lebanon, a completely impossible task for the IDF.

What they can do is incapacitate Hezbollah by making the organization weaker to be any threat on the border, by expanding the security zone north of Israel and proactively destroying the bunkers, depots and storage sites for rockets and missiles, Hezbollah will cease to be a military threat, for me, that is a decisive victory.

Now, to simply defeat Hezbollah at all necessary levels (political and military), unless they have cooperation with the opposition (political and military) to Hezbollah in Lebanon, making the group a pariah in the country, one that operates parallel and outside the law as a militia.

 

[Persian Gulf]

There is no way to decisively destroy Hezbollah militarily without invading all of Lebanon, a completely impossible task for the IDF.

What they can do is incapacitate Hezbollah by making the organization weaker to be any threat on the border, by expanding the security zone north of Israel and proactively destroying the bunkers, depots and storage sites for rockets and missiles, Hezbollah will cease to be a military threat, for me, that is a decisive victory.

Now, to simply defeat Hezbollah at all necessary levels (political and military), unless they have cooperation with the opposition (political and military) to Hezbollah in Lebanon, making the group a pariah in the country, one that operates parallel and outside the law as a militia.

in long term unless Israel maintains endless airstrikes against (or control over) Syria-Lebanon border, they cannot stop Hezbollah from rearming

but reports that Israel made some raids in south Lebanon already suggests Hezbollah is severely weakened already. in prior months these raids were attempted but detected and intercepted, now they are not.

 

[Immortals]

in long term unless Israel maintains endless airstrikes against (or control over) Syria-Lebanon border, they cannot stop Hezbollah from rearming

but reports that Israel made some raids in south Lebanon already suggests Hezbollah is severely weakened already. in prior months these raids were attempted but detected and intercepted, now they are not.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1840668996388978882

Meanwhile Iran does nothing but words of support

https://twitter.com/x/status/1840497496138645897

This is what losing deterrence looks like. Before IDF worried about accidentally killing a HZ soldier in its strikes in Syria against Iranian expansion. Now it is dismantling the entire organization while Iran sits and watches.

 

[Immortals]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1840676227322982830

https://twitter.com/x/status/1840492297860808864

We all must be stuck in a bad dream…

 

[Nuffle]

in long term unless Israel maintains endless airstrikes against (or control over) Syria-Lebanon border, they cannot stop Hezbollah from rearming

but reports that Israel made some raids in south Lebanon already suggests Hezbollah is severely weakened already. in prior months these raids were attempted but detected and intercepted, now they are not.

Comparisons can be made with 2006. In 2006, the IAF flew 11,897 combat missions during 33 days of conflict, an average of 360 combat missions per day.

In the first two days (September 23-24), the IAF flew around 500 combat missions per day, a higher number than the average for the 2006 campaign. On the first day alone, September 23, the IAF hit 1,500 targets with over 2,000 rounds of ammunition.

It now appears that the number has dropped significantly after the first few days of intense airstrikes, becoming more targeted and lethal. We do not know to what extent Hezbollah has been compromised or reduced, but according to the IDF, they have significantly reduced the group's combat power, which would now allow them to control the pace of airstrikes after a devastating first blow.

The IDF’s strategic concept is to deliver sudden and lethal precision strikes, preventing missiles from maneuvering or launching. This is fully in line with the main points of the “Victory Doctrine”:

The doctrine will allow shortening the duration of the war;
The doctrine will allow achieving a decisive victory;
Victory will be achieved by “counter-destruction” of enemy capabilities at an accelerated pace, with a variety of precision fire capabilities and massive use of offensive autonomous tools (remotely operated vehicles with certain independent action capabilities);
Severe strikes against the enemy will cause an erosion of its operability and cumulative damage to morale, to the point that its ability to absorb additional damage will be overwhelmed;
The doctrine is based on the prerequisite of intelligence superiority for the purpose of exposing and striking the enemy. Such superiority will allow the IDF to have “a regular and stable supply of quality targets” to destroy during the fight;
The doctrine is based on linking peripheral strike capabilities (air, land and sea) to combat units, at an accelerated pace and in an effective manner;

What the IDF needs now is to coordinate its efforts with air strikes to carry out the offensive towards southern Lebanon, undermining Hezbollah's permanent capabilities against Israel. That is why I believe that they will eventually carry out the ground offensive, but with minimalist objectives. But that is my opinion.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Comparisons can be made with 2006. In 2006, the IAF flew 11,897 combat missions during 33 days of conflict, an average of 360 combat missions per day.

In the first two days (September 23-24), the IAF flew around 500 combat missions per day, a higher number than the average for the 2006 campaign. On the first day alone, September 23, the IAF hit 1,500 targets with over 2,000 rounds of ammunition.

It now appears that the number has dropped significantly after the first few days of intense airstrikes, becoming more targeted and lethal. We do not know to what extent Hezbollah has been compromised or reduced, but according to the IDF, they have significantly reduced the group's combat power, which would now allow them to control the pace of airstrikes after a devastating first blow.

The IDF’s strategic concept is to deliver sudden and lethal precision strikes, preventing missiles from maneuvering or launching. This is fully in line with the main points of the “Victory Doctrine”:

I did not expect Hezbollah's rocket capabilities to be this vulnerable after 1-2 days of intense bombing.

I had expected Hezbollah to be capable of easily defeating Iron Dome. At any time there are up to 600-800 Iron Dome interceptors deployed. Assuming even 80% of these are in the north (let's say 600 in total in the north), I had expected Hezbollah to be able to fire much more than this number per day, quickly degrading Israel's inventory. Hezbollah had shown trucks with 72 rocket launchers. Only 10 of these are needed per day to overwhelm the Iron Dome.

Instead, Hezbollah showed no desire to fire this number of rockets in order to avoid a full scale war, and when the full scale war came, it came quickly and Israel struck before Hezbollah could regroup.

I had applied the same analysis to Iran's missiles vs Israel's ABM defences. And I still think that applies because it will be harder for Israel to repeat this against Iran given the distance and better protection of Iranian missile sites. But it needs to be considered and prepared for.

 

[Emirzad]

This is true, by some accounts IRGC backed conglomerates control up to 40% of the Iranian economy.

But you have those like Solemani and then those like Salami within the IRGC.

I don’t trust the military council would be made up of those with merit and intelligence.

The entire council is made of sycophant loyalist midgets. Iran is occupied by these Self-appointed Godly hobbits. Our only hope is that from within these ranks comes a Soleimani 2.0, drains the swamp locally and puts enemies of Iran in their place.

 

[Immortals]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1840691349261041790

Biden shouldn’t worry, Iran isn’t going to do anything.

All those red lines were crossed and nothing happened.

 

[Immortals]

Israel has entered HZ tunnel system

https://twitter.com/x/status/1840675881116737724

 

[bengalcdn]

Israel has entered HZ tunnel system

https://twitter.com/x/status/1840675881116737724

I wouldn’t believe everything written by Times Of Israel. This could be some psyops psychological warfare.