this analysis suggests that Iran needs to sacrifice 293 Shahed-136 class drones through Iraq and Jordan to guarantee some will reach Israeli airspace
Today, suicide (kamikaze) drones play an important role in strategic attacks in addition to tactical functions. The low-cost of these devices compared to cruise missiles gives advantages to the ar…
mreyhani.wordpress.com
this is a function of the defence capacity over Iraq and Jordan, the probability of success of each interception, the required time for each interception, and the time remaining for interception (itself a function of the speed of the drone)
alternative routes (via Syria or Saudi Arabia) are worth exploring but the main solution is to increase the speed of the drone (which then increases the cost)
if doubling the speed of the drone doubles the cost of the drone but halves the number of drones that need to be sacrificed for an effective saturation strike, this is still worth it and it is easier to store and launch c. 150 drones than c. 300 drones