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- #91
The problem is all these options apart from nuclear and hydroelectric are quite expensive, nuclear has huge capital costs though, unless BD uses its own gas reserves which are likely to last just 10 years at current rate of extraction. Hope more reserves are found but you cannot rely on that.
Plants that rely on imported coal and LNG are going to cost more to produce each unit of electricity. BD has been struggling to pay suppliers and Indonesia even cut off the supply of coal for Payra as BD had not paid them in 4 months.
It needs to be a combination of the following as a 15-20 year plan:
1. Build 3-4 more Russian VVER-1200 or follow on models - Moderate cost and clean
2. 5-10GW of hydroelectric power from Nepal/Bhutan through India. - Cheap and clean
3. More Coal and LNG plants - High cost and most polluting.
4. Rely on its own gas for gas plants - Cheapest cost and moderately polluting
Of course with number 4., it would be excellent if BD does find more gas but you cannot rely on that as the exploration may end up with nothing.
I cannot see how BD can afford to take hydroelectric out of the equation here as billions a year of forex would be saved to generate completely clean electricity and there would be no land loss in BD due to building these power stations.
