United States elections 2024

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Biden is already too old.

He should enjoy his old age with his family.



The presidential battle is actually between Trump vs Deep State.

Biden as a president, basically USA doesn't have a president.
 

Trump tops Biden by 2 points in new national poll​

BY MIRANDA NAZZARO - 06/13/24 8:12 AM ET

Former President Trump holds a 2-point lead over President Biden among registered voters across the country as the two prepare for a rematch this November, according to a new survey.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll, released Thursday, found about 41 percent of registered voters said they would vote for Trump if the election took place today, while 39 percent picked Biden. About 20 percent of voters said they have not picked a candidate, were leaning toward third-party options or might not vote in the election.

This is a flip-flop from a previous Reuters/Ipsos poll, conducted May 31 to June 1, which showed the incumbent with a 2-point lead over the former president — 41 percent to 39 percent.
The latest two-day poll was conducted earlier this week and closed Tuesday, nearly two weeks after Trump was criminally convicted in New York in his hush money case, Reuters noted. The steady support for the former president follows various other polls over the past two weeks suggesting the guilty verdict is not impacting some voters’ choices.
About 61 percent of registered voters in the latest survey said Trump being found guilty on all 34 felony counts of falsifying business records in an attempt to cover up an alleged past affair ahead of the 2016 election, has not affected their voting plans, pollsters said.
Meanwhile, the president’s son, Hunter Biden was found guilty in a federal gun case this week, making the commander in chief the first sitting U.S. president with a criminally convicted child.
The poll, which closed on the same day as Hunter Biden’s conviction, found 80 percent of surveyed adults said the outcome was unlikely to change their vote.
Adding independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. into the mix, about 10 percent of respondents said they would choose him if he was on the ballot with Trump and Biden, per the survey.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted nationally among 903 registered voters Monday and Tuesday. Trump’s lead for the survey had a margin of error of roughly 3 percentage points.
 
Menthol said:
Biden is already too old.

He should enjoy his old age with his family.



The presidential battle is actually between Trump vs Deep State.

Biden as a president, basically USA doesn't have a president.
Click to expand...

Biden should just say because the US is at war with Russia, election in the US is banned. Zelensky did that in Ukraine.
 

Jun 13, 2024 -Politics & Policy

Trump's bid to steal the youth​

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Vote share in presidential elections among voters aged 18 to 29​

Presidential elections since 1972
A line chart in blue and red shows the vote share in presidential elections among voters aged 18 to 29 since the 1972 election. Young voters have pretty consistently voted more for Democrats since 1976, with a notable exception in 1984, when Reagan won in a landslide. The gap has been widening since 2000, peaking in 2008 with Obama's election, but a new NYT/Siena poll projects a much closer race in 2024 with 47% of young voters to vote for Biden compared to 45% expected to vote for Trump.
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who voted Democrat
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who voted Republican

NYT/Siena poll
NYT/Siena poll

47%
45%

Data: New York Times, CNN, 2024 New York Times/Siena Poll; Chart: Axios Visuals
Former President Trump appears to be making stunning inroads with young voters as he stakes out youth-friendly positions that defy GOP orthodoxy and contradict past statements.
Why it matters: The prospect of Trump coming within striking distance of winning young voters — which shows up in poll after poll — would have seemed unthinkable at the outset of the cycle.
State of play: Public polling suggests a significant shift toward Trump could be coming in the 2024 election among the country's youngest voters.
  • The latest New York Times/Siena polling of likely voters has President Biden with just a 2-point lead over Trump among those between 18-29. A recent Quinnipiac survey has Trump ahead by a point among registered voters between 18-34.
  • By contrast, CNN exit polling showed that Biden won the 18-29-year-old vote by 24 percentage points in 2020, and that Hillary Clinton won it by 19 points in 2016.
Reality check: The polls could be wrong. Polling younger voters has become more difficult in recent years as answering landlines — a traditional method of polling outreach — is an archaic practice for today's youth.
Zoom in: Trump is staking out policies that cater to the preferences of younger voters, even as they don't map neatly to the conservative consensus.
1. After proposing a TikTok ban during his presidency, Trump baffled conservative China hawks by coming out against such a move earlier this year.
  • The electoral upside of that stance is clear: TikTok is popular among younger users, and support for a ban grows as the age of respondents increases.
  • Trump joined TikTok and posted his first video earlier this month.
2. Trump has hugged the cryptocurrency world in recent weeks. He's boosted NFTs, vowed to end regulatory hostility and endorsed U.S.-mined Bitcoin as a way to help America become "energy dominant."
  • That contrasts with the Biden administration's posture toward the industry. SEC chair Gary Gensler has become one of crypto's biggest villains.

3. Trump singled out a new constituency this week by vowing to get rid of tip taxation, the Washington Post reports.
  • The comments, made at a Las Vegas rally, may have been targeted at career service-industry workers — and Latinos in particular. But young restaurant and bar workers nationwide might take notice.
Between the lines: Trump's positions frequently cut against positions he's held in the past, bringing into question whether they represent sincerely held beliefs or electoral pandering.
The bottom line: Any massive movement of young voters to the right could be a once-in-a-generation victory for Republicans.
  • The youth vote hasn't been close since Al Gore beat George W. Bush by 2 points in 2000. No Republican has won young Americans since 1988.


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2 hours ago -Politics & Policy

Biden's senior momentum: Why he's courting older voters​

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Vote share in presidential elections among voters aged 60 or older​

Presidential elections since 1972
A line chart in blue and red shows the vote share in presidential elections among voters aged 60 or older since the 1972 election. Older voters voted more for Republicans between 1972 and 1988 before switching to Democrats through the 2000 election. From 2004 onwards, older voters voted more for Republicans, but a new NYT/Siena poll projects more older voters voting for Biden than for Trump in the 2024 election.
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NYT/Siena poll
NYT/Siena poll
Data collection changed to voters aged 65 or older
Data collection changed to voters aged 65 or older


51%
42%

Data: New York Times, 2024 New York Times/Siena Poll; Chart: Axios Visuals
President Biden appears to be making serious inroads with America's oldest voters — and could become the first Democrat to win the demographic in over two decades.
Why it matters: If current polling pans out, November's election between two historically old candidates would upend long-held assumptions about how Americans vote.
The big picture: The Biden campaign is attempting to seal the support of a group that consistently votes at higher rates than any other demographic.
  • Former President Trump, as Axios reported yesterday, appears to be making stunning gains of his own among young voters.
  • The polls could still be wrong. But unlike young voters, older Americans still (sometimes) answer their phones, making them easier to reliably poll.
Zoom in: Older Americans — perhaps driven by old-school respect for institutions and distaste for Trump's unorthodox style — are flocking to Biden, according to a series of recent polls. (Another theory: The hippies got old.)
  • The most recent New York Times/Siena poll shows that Biden has a 9-point lead in a head-to-head matchup against Trump among likely voters aged 65 or older.
  • In a Quinnipiac University poll released last month, Biden is beating Trump by 12 points with the 65+ set.
  • Republicans have — with the exception of 1992, 1996 and 2000 — won the senior vote in every presidential race for the last half-century, according to exit polls.
Preserving democracy has emerged as one of the clearest dividing lines between younger and older voters.
  • When asked by Quinnipiac to identify "the most urgent issue facing the country today," 10% of registered voters aged 18-34 said democracy.
  • For those 65 and up, that number rose to 35% — higher than any other single issue including the economy and immigration.
State of play: Biden — who has torn into Republicans for eyeing cuts to Social Security and Medicare — is making a play at older voters with a new program announced this week called Seniors for Biden-Harris.
  • The outreach effort includes bingo nights and pickleball tournaments. The campaign is running ads on daytime TV shows that are popular with seniors, including "The Price is Right."

Biden campaign pollster Geoff Garin pointed to two key factors going for the president with older voters:
  • "First, older voters strongly support what Biden has done to lower drug costs for seniors on Medicare," he told Axios.
  • "Second, older voters pay much more attention to the news than any other group, so they are the most aware of any group of how unhinged and extreme Donald Trump has become."
Between the lines: Biden's gains with older voters could be valuable in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — the so-called "blue wall" swing states in the Rust Belt that his campaign badly wants to hold onto.
  • Those three states, which would likely give Biden the 270 electoral votes he needs to win, skew older than the Sun Belt swing states that he won in 2020: Georgia, Arizona and Nevada.
 

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