Persian Gulf
INT'L MOD
funny although he is understating it
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My friend, you don't understand what I'm saying, but I'll try to explain : imagine a soccer game where player CRISTIANO RONALDO scores a goal with his hand (which is illegal under FIFA rules), but the referee says "The goal was actually a goal with his hands but I like Cristiano Ronaldo and I'm going to allow his goal," and confirms the goal with FIFA's support. What would happen the next day?Come on man, rules went out the window the day Trump withdrew from the JCPOA and unilaterally reinstated sweeping sanctions.
you might have a point if the JCPOA says that the Europeans cannot trigger snapback if they are themselves in significant non compliance with their obligations. but it does not say that. so you do not have a point.My friend, you don't understand what I'm saying, but I'll try to explain : imagine a soccer game where player CRISTIANO RONALDO scores a goal with his hand (which is illegal under FIFA rules), but the referee says "The goal was actually a goal with his hands but I like Cristiano Ronaldo and I'm going to allow his goal," and confirms the goal with FIFA's support. What would happen the next day?
Why would they?Won't the snapback be ineffective since China/Russia can block the re-imposition of UN sanctions?
China is already trying to and Russia sees Iran as a friendWhy would they?
They can't. That's the whole purpose of putting the snapback mechanism in the JCPOA.Won't the snapback be ineffective since China/Russia can block the re-imposition of UN sanctions?
no. that's not how snapback works.Won't the snapback be ineffective since China/Russia can block the re-imposition of UN sanctions?
Well its not like they were going to send us any weapons anyways. The worst part of the snapbacks is cutting us off from the international banking system but we already are. Even if the snapback is put in place I doubt China would care enough to follow it. International law is what you make of it and China is strong enough that it can tell the UN/West to stay awayThey can't. That's the whole purpose of putting the snapback mechanism in the JCPOA.
The worst part is that we'll be just one step before invoking Article 42 on us.Well its not like they were going to send us any weapons anyways. The worst part of the snapbacks is cutting us off from the international banking system but we already are.
China and Russia would block article 42. China needs a secure oil partner in case the taiwan situation escalates and the persian gulf arab states comply with US sanctions. Plus russia doesn't want a pro-american regime blocking a secure trade route to India and south asia.The worst part is that we'll be just one step before invoking Article 42 on us.
Article 42 of the Chapter VII of the UN Charter:
“Should the Security Council consider that measures provided for in Article 41 would be inadequate or have proved to be inadequate, it may take such action by air, sea, or land forces as may be necessary to maintain or restore international peace and security. Such action may include demonstrations, blockade, and other operations by air, sea, or land forces of Members of the United Nations.”
Article 41 refers to UNSC sanctions against a country that is a threat to global security. So, the snapback mechanism will put Iran back under Article 42. Next time they pass a UNSC resolution on us, it could very well be Article 42 this time.
China and Russia both supported the UNSC resolutions and sanctions against Iran that put Iran in this situation to begin withChina and Russia would block article 42. China needs a secure oil partner in case the taiwan situation escalates and the persian gulf arab states comply with US sanctions. Plus russia doesn't want a pro-american regime blocking a secure trade route to India and south asia.
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