Oldenwisdom...قول بزرگ
Trusted Member
This right here is the essence of it all... the MoU and the terms...
Orange was never honest about negotiations or Iranian demands. He had his pinky stuck and wanted to get that extracted. Iran by forcing the terms of the MoU as it saw opened it all up as hoax it is....
However, something isn't right... hagsbreath is running this op as if he's conserving energy, a softening of the islands and areas around or cessation of hostilities any minute. All three assumptions don't make sense... US by prolonging the conflict will deprive the world of much needed oil... but much needed liquidity as well... the longer it goes the harder it becomes for debt ridden economies to sustain especially when the ammo US is using is hard to come by, expensive and takes longer to produce. The softening of coastline means a larger conflict and that cannot simply happen by haphazard aerial bombardment... the coastline is huge and intel is simply unreliable or not there... the least of this option is to unsettle of increase the cost of Iranian enforcement of Hormuz... and that again is flawed as Iran doesn't need a huge presence initially to keep the straits close... they can simply target escorted ships and arrest the movement... so impractical. And lastly, ceasefire to return back to the table... unless something tangible and in parallel occurs... there is simply nothing that orange can do to coerce Iran... because he's already bombing... already the method of last resort. Which means ... low on ideas yet crooked as ever...
Imagine, he twisted the arms of Oman right on the onset of MoU... had his own southern path opened and had zion do a parallel deal with Lebanese government... while simultaneously working on igniting civil wars in Lebanon, Syria and Iraq.. using US backed militias there to use against Iran and targeting groups, parties or individuals amenable to Iran.
Which brings me to Iran... and that seems like another trap... the Iranian target selection though causes material losses is not sufficient nor intended to arrest US presence or posture in the region. The radars and batteries are understandable but everyone sees the presence in the statelets unencumbered. If that is to preserve escalation arc... tit for tat or dominate the escalation... is not really translating because Iran comes across as an enabler of the presence simultaneously. And lastly assuming or hedging for a full blown land invasion. Iran will see that coming from a mile away... with air cover and after making sure any resistance infrastructure has been decimated. In other words... the invasion that is as safe as possible for the US infantry.
Remember, rhe mere US presence in the region costs and arm and a leg. Besides the gulf monarchies are US collateral in this war against Iran... US is both using their facilities and having them absorb blows to further US presence and posture. Lastly Zion the reason for all this ... has burned every bridge and stands at the precipice of isolation. If US cannot deliver on Iran... while they have threatened both Turkiye and Egypt... are getting cooked like a frog in a boiling pot.
Orange was never honest about negotiations or Iranian demands. He had his pinky stuck and wanted to get that extracted. Iran by forcing the terms of the MoU as it saw opened it all up as hoax it is....
However, something isn't right... hagsbreath is running this op as if he's conserving energy, a softening of the islands and areas around or cessation of hostilities any minute. All three assumptions don't make sense... US by prolonging the conflict will deprive the world of much needed oil... but much needed liquidity as well... the longer it goes the harder it becomes for debt ridden economies to sustain especially when the ammo US is using is hard to come by, expensive and takes longer to produce. The softening of coastline means a larger conflict and that cannot simply happen by haphazard aerial bombardment... the coastline is huge and intel is simply unreliable or not there... the least of this option is to unsettle of increase the cost of Iranian enforcement of Hormuz... and that again is flawed as Iran doesn't need a huge presence initially to keep the straits close... they can simply target escorted ships and arrest the movement... so impractical. And lastly, ceasefire to return back to the table... unless something tangible and in parallel occurs... there is simply nothing that orange can do to coerce Iran... because he's already bombing... already the method of last resort. Which means ... low on ideas yet crooked as ever...
Imagine, he twisted the arms of Oman right on the onset of MoU... had his own southern path opened and had zion do a parallel deal with Lebanese government... while simultaneously working on igniting civil wars in Lebanon, Syria and Iraq.. using US backed militias there to use against Iran and targeting groups, parties or individuals amenable to Iran.
Which brings me to Iran... and that seems like another trap... the Iranian target selection though causes material losses is not sufficient nor intended to arrest US presence or posture in the region. The radars and batteries are understandable but everyone sees the presence in the statelets unencumbered. If that is to preserve escalation arc... tit for tat or dominate the escalation... is not really translating because Iran comes across as an enabler of the presence simultaneously. And lastly assuming or hedging for a full blown land invasion. Iran will see that coming from a mile away... with air cover and after making sure any resistance infrastructure has been decimated. In other words... the invasion that is as safe as possible for the US infantry.
Remember, rhe mere US presence in the region costs and arm and a leg. Besides the gulf monarchies are US collateral in this war against Iran... US is both using their facilities and having them absorb blows to further US presence and posture. Lastly Zion the reason for all this ... has burned every bridge and stands at the precipice of isolation. If US cannot deliver on Iran... while they have threatened both Turkiye and Egypt... are getting cooked like a frog in a boiling pot.
