When I look at Moscow years of stalling on selling Iran it’s Su35/Sy30 aircraft what comes to my mind is Pakistan f16 nightmare negotiations with Washington they went no where we lost a decade over them . We now went for Chinese fighter with no regrets you should do the that too move on!
China doesn’t even offer Iran military grade pencils let alone fighter jets.
It’s annoying when other members show up and make such [obvious] suggestions as if Iran couldn’t think to ask China. Iran has already gone the China route with regards to fighter jets and it was not satisfactory for various reasons.
Xi Xi is another Putin who rather be a lone wolf with no true military Allies (other than I guess Pakistan). He is too in love with the Arabs and relations with the West to jeopardize that over major arms deal with Iran. The last major arms deal between China-Iran was the C-802 transfer in early 2000’s and that was a semi disaster. Today, China mostly provides Iran with components and raw materials in this day age rather than any finished high grade weapon systems.
Baring a major shift in Xi Xi’s thinking and China’s strategic thought process, Iran and Chinese military relations will remain strained and at arms length.
The Iranian diaspora may yet achieve that. Who knows?
IRGC thru it’s economic arm controls up to 40% of a 700B-1T economy (depending on what metric you use).
Thus there is no way you are staging a coup in a country that has a military paramilitary force with social, economic, and military arms embedded into every facet of its society.
Even if Iran’s traditional military (the Artesh) were to miraculously side with anti IR groups, they wouldn’t stand a chance against IRGC + Basij and the political opponents that back them. Not to mention many Artesh commanders are former IRGC commanders.
It’s more likely that China or Russia will have changes of government than Iran. That’s how difficult it is to remove IRGC from power.
