Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

https://twitter.com/x/status/1823418793047032206

More Hezbollah members die as Nasrallah “prepares his response”.

It took Israel less than 4 days after soccer field attack to find and kill #3 in Hezbollah and political leader of Hamas.

2 weeks later…Iran and Hezbollah continue to release press release statements
 
WAZA said:
Iran is a paper tiger. They requested Russia to intervene in Syria against rebels with no air force and air defence and you think they can go head to head with USA? I have no doubt isis will be fighting inside iran borders now if US didn't stop them when they were outskirts of Baghdad.


Israel knows iran is a paper tiger and that why they will keep crossing every red lines. Iran only hope not to be invaded is nukes
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Brah, yous been invaded three times and bent over the barrel three times in the last 100 years alone. Yet here you are talking it up?
 
Any inside scoop when Zionist regime is going to surrender to mullah regime ?
 
Taking review of the current situation -

It does seem that Israel has managed to establish deterrence against Iran, that Iran cannot create against Israel. ie Israel can hit anyone anywhere in Tehran, and Iran will dare not to retaliate now as it cannot handle the escalation ladded. The wild-man routine of Israel does seem to have worked, and the recent linking of the strike with the ceasefire talks just shows that Iran is looking for a way out of its bluster and fundamental military weakness. 2 weeks of 'military exercises' has probably impressed on the Iranian leadership that they are in no shape to wage a limited conflict, any escalation ladder with Israel, let alone a war with Israel.

Israel can precisely hit anywhere in Iran, at any time. Take the point of the S300 radar station it took out. Whereas the actual Iranian missiles strikes that made it through the ballistic shield destroyed nothing of value - ie F35 base did not destroy anything of value.

Iran should learn to be quiet in the future - all this bluster is just embarrassing Iran.
 
Ali_Baba said:
Taking review of the current situation -

It does seem that Israel has managed to establish deterrence against Iran, that Iran cannot create against Israel. ie Israel can hit anyone anywhere in Tehran, and Iran will dare not to retaliate now as it cannot handle the escalation ladded. The wild-man routine of Israel does seem to have worked, and the recent linking of the strike with the ceasefire talks just shows that Iran is looking for a way out of its bluster and fundamental military weakness. 2 weeks of 'military exercises' has probably impressed on the Iranian leadership that they are in no shape to wage a limited conflict, any escalation ladder with Israel, let alone a war with Israel.

Israel can precisely hit anywhere in Iran, at any time. Take the point of the S300 radar station it took out. Whereas the actual Iranian missiles strikes that made it through the ballistic shield destroyed nothing of value - ie F35 base did not destroy anything of value.

Iran should learn to be quiet in the future - all this bluster is just embarrassing Iran.
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It is called " Mullah checkmate ".....Iranians invented the game of chess and dumb mullahs managed to checkmate themselves...how ironic!!!
 
Ali_Baba said:
Taking review of the current situation -

It does seem that Israel has managed to establish deterrence against Iran, that Iran cannot create against Israel. ie Israel can hit anyone anywhere in Tehran, and Iran will dare not to retaliate now as it cannot handle the escalation ladded. The wild-man routine of Israel does seem to have worked, and the recent linking of the strike with the ceasefire talks just shows that Iran is looking for a way out of its bluster and fundamental military weakness. 2 weeks of 'military exercises' has probably impressed on the Iranian leadership that they are in no shape to wage a limited conflict, any escalation ladder with Israel, let alone a war with Israel.

Israel can precisely hit anywhere in Iran, at any time. Take the point of the S300 radar station it took out. Whereas the actual Iranian missiles strikes that made it through the ballistic shield destroyed nothing of value - ie F35 base did not destroy anything of value.

Iran should learn to be quiet in the future - all this bluster is just embarrassing Iran.
Click to expand...

It’s not military capability, it’s political problems.

Khamenai is a dove more or less. Doesn’t like direct conflict and doesn’t like kinetic actions. Complete opposite of his predecessor (Khomeini) that embraced conflict to achieve one’s vision as a Hawk.

On top of that you have the corrupt “founding” families and those tied to their circle (oligarchs, political Allies, elite) who have no interest for conflict while they make money busting US sanctions. So they too put pressure on Khamenai to show restraint because they have a good thing going and why disrupt the Apple cart.

Then you have the IRGC, which many think are bunch of hardliners. Far from it, the IRGC itself has competing viewpoints like any organization. For example, some voices within the IRGC in 2011 didn’t want to interfere in Syrian civil war and join the war and thought it was better to negotiate a power sharing agreement with the West in a post-Assad world similar to how Iraq is now governed. Lucky they didn’t listen to that crowd because Syria right now would be the Arabian version of Ukraine for the West.

Which brings me to my point: it’s not military capability that holds Iran back it’s the factions that make up the opaque power structure in Iran do not want direct conflict. After all, from 1980’s to 2000’s, Iran attacked many Israeli interests around the world when it was just a brand new government with a purged military and security force, let alone its intelligence arm (SAVAK) that was completely destroyed.

So even if IRGC pushes for direct retribution and an aggressive “attack”, many factions (liberals, reformists, bazaaris, centrist, and those who care only about keeping the status quo and making money) will push back and say no.

Khamenai then has to appease most of the Republic and also has his own viewpoint (which is notably dovish).
 
Why do you write so many stupid comments here? Do you really believe this nonsense you write?

Wait for attack and conflict. There is a possibility of war with terrorist state of jews
 
Immortals said:
It’s not military capability, it’s political problems.

Khamenai is a dove more or less. Doesn’t like direct conflict and doesn’t like kinetic actions. Complete opposite of his predecessor (Khomeini) that embraced conflict to achieve one’s vision as a Hawk.

On top of that you have the corrupt “founding” families and those tied to their circle (oligarchs, political Allies, elite) who have no interest for conflict while they make money busting US sanctions. So they too put pressure on Khamenai to show restraint because they have a good thing going and why disrupt the Apple cart.

Then you have the IRGC, which many think are bunch of hardliners. Far from it, the IRGC itself has competing viewpoints like any organization. For example, some voices within the IRGC in 2011 didn’t want to interfere in Syrian civil war and join the war and thought it was better to negotiate a power sharing agreement with the West in a post-Assad world similar to how Iraq is now governed. Lucky they didn’t listen to that crowd because Syria right now would be the Arabian version of Ukraine for the West.

Which brings me to my point: it’s not military capability that holds Iran back it’s the factions that make up the opaque power structure in Iran do not want direct conflict. After all, from 1980’s to 2000’s, Iran attacked many Israeli interests around the world when it was just a brand new government with a purged military and security force, let alone its intelligence arm (SAVAK) that was completely destroyed.

So even if IRGC pushes for direct retribution and an aggressive “attack”, many factions (liberals, reformists, bazaaris, centrist, and those who care only about keeping the status quo and making money) will push back and say no.

Khamenai then has to appease most of the Republic and also has his own viewpoint (which is notably dovish).
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This person’s ‘analysis’ is less valuable than their ‘predictions’.

Utter nonsense.
 
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