Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[Persian Gulf]

Seventeen killed on deadliest day of Israel-Hizbollah conflict​

Israeli air strikes killed 16 people in Lebanon overnight and a barrage of retaliatory rocket fire by Hizbollah militants killed one person in Israel, making Wednesday the deadliest day of fighting across the Lebanese border since the Israel-Hamas war began in October.

On Wednesday, Israel struck a paramedic centre affiliated with al-Jamaa al-Islamiya, killing seven of its members in the village of Hebbariyeh, according to Lebanon’s state news agency NNA. On Tuesday, the leader of al-Jamaa al-Islamiya had said the group had joined Hizbollah in its fight against Israel to “defend our land” and in “support of our brothers in Gaza”.

Later on Wednesday, Israel conducted further strikes, saying it had struck a Hizbollah military compound in Teir Harfa and a “terrorist cell” in Naqoura, both in southern Lebanon. Nine members of Hizbollah and its allied Amal movement were killed, including two paramedics linked to Hizbollah and a local Amal commander, according to the groups and the NNA. The paramedics had been preparing to respond to the Teir Harfa strike, said the NNA.

Hizbollah claimed responsibility for a barrage of rockets fired into the northern Israeli city of Kiryat Shmona and a military base, which killed one person. The group said the rockets were launched as a “response” to the deadly strike on their allies’ paramedic centre. Israel’s military said 45 rockets were fired.

Since October, more than 230 Hizbollah fighters and almost 50 civilians have been killed in Lebanon, according to a tally by the Financial Times. On the Israeli side of the border, 14 soldiers and eight civilians have been killed in the conflict with Lebanese militants, according to the Israeli military.

Seventeen killed on deadliest day of Israel-Hizbollah conflict

Cross-border fire has ramped up in recent days, fuelling concerns about a broader regional war

www.ft.com

 

[Persian Gulf]

Israeli Defence Minister (Gallant): ordered IDF to "expand operations" against Hezbollah

Defense Minister Yoav Gallant conducted a situation assessment on Friday at Northern Command and directed the IDF to "expand the campaign in the north."

According to Gallant, "We are shifting from repelling to actively pursuing Hezbollah. Wherever they are hiding we will reach them, including more distant places like Damascus and beyond. "We will increase the rate of attacks and expand our operations - that's what I conveyed this week in Washington to Secretary of Defense Austin, to Special Envoy Amos Hochstein, and others - and that's what I instructed the IDF at Northern Command."

https://www.ynetnews.com/article/rjcssle1r

IDF strikes UNIFIL car in south Lebanon, injuring 4 UNIFIL members

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[Persian Gulf]

Sudan war: ‘Iranian drones played decisive role in Omdurman battle’​

Iranian Mohajer-6 drones played an important role and were a ‘decisive factor’ in the success of the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) battle to wrest control of the National Radio and Television Corporation buildings from Rapid Support Forces (RSF) control on Monday.

As previously reported by Radio Dabanga, The SAF took control of the National Radio and Television Corporation in old Omdurman on Monday, after the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) had occupied the buildings since the outbreak of the war in mid-April last year.

“The RSF force advanced towards the radio building was destroyed by drones. Sudan now has advanced types of drones that can fly in a distance of 85 kilometres, the battle is now exposed and the army has the initiative.

Radio Dabanga reported last year that a SAF delegation allegedly visited Iran to purchase combat drones. In late January, the RSF claimed they downed an Iranian-made Mohajer-6 drone in Khartoum state.

In January, Bloomberg quoted three Western officials, who asked not to be identified, as saying that Sudan had received shipments of the Mohajer-6, a single-engine drone manufactured in Iran by Quds Aerospace Industries and carrying precision-guided munitions.

Analysts who have checked satellite imagery have confirmed the drone’s presence in Sudan, according to Bloomberg.

Alan Boswell, director of the Horn of Africa project at the International Crisis Group, believes that Tehran’s restoration of an ally in Sudan, especially along the Red Sea, would be a big win for Iran, but it would worry other regional and Western powers, and highlight the importance of Sudan’s 640-kilometer Red Sea coastline, which countries such as China, Russia and Türkiye are vying for.

Sudan war: ‘Iranian drones played decisive role in Omdurman battle’ - Dabanga Radio TV Online

By Ashraf Abdelaziz Iranian Mohajer-6 drones played an important role and were a ‘decisive factor’...

www.dabangasudan.org

 

[Persian Gulf]

Huge IDF airstrikes in Syria target suspected Hezbollah ammo/solid fuel storage, at least 31 Syrians and 6 Hezbollah fighters killed

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Israeli leaders have recently been talking about their desire to target Hezbollah 'everywhere'

 

[Immortals]

Huge IDF airstrikes in Syria target suspected Hezbollah ammo/solid fuel storage, at least 31 Syrians and 6 Hezbollah fighters killed

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Israeli leaders have recently been talking about their desire to target Hezbollah 'everywhere'

Did I not say this would occur?

When that joke of an Iranian FM sat and conveyed baseless warnings and cryptic bluffs of vague “responses” I realized this alliance wasn’t going to take much action in the days after 10/7.

Israel in the beginning played weak and feable. Saying they don’t want conflict with Hezbollah and Iran and all this pacifism to fool everyone. Indeed they made the Americans step in and warn Iran.

Reality is they wanted to first reduce Hamas so one front got pacified to avoid a multi front conflict. So they played coy and a shrewd Zionist card. They spent their focus in the weeks that followed on dismantling most of Hamas capabilities in defiance of our FMs baseless warnings. THEN now they have increased escalations against HZ and Iran knowing neither party wants war.

Reality is if HZ entered the war more decisively in the beginning alongside Syria/Iraq/Houthis then Israel would have had to contend with a strong Hamas and multiple other fronts. But it seems only Houthi’s really gave a major effect to helping the Hamas, everyone else played a geopolitical game of footsie.

Remains to be seen if this was a Strategic mistake on Iran’s part. They sacrificed Hamas largely for geopolitical theater. Now HZ and Iran will be routinely targeted in Syria with no response.

Strategic deterrence outside of Iranian soil has been lost for years. It is only a matter of time till the enemy concludes it can strike Iranian soil without major response.

Indeed we saw the Americans debating that internally prior to their response for Jordan attack. For now they decided it was off the table, but it is only matter of time (maybe with President Trump) where he will feel he can strike Iranian soil without major retribution just like how he assassinated Solemani and only had some concussive troops and material damage in response.

 

[jauk]

Did I not say this would occur?

When that joke of an Iranian FM sat and conveyed baseless warnings and cryptic bluffs of vague “responses” I realized this alliance wasn’t going to take much action.

Israel in the beginning played weak and feable. Saying they don’t want conflict with Hezbollah and Iran and all this pacifism to fool everyone. Reality is they wanted to first reduce Hamas. So they played coy and a shrewd Zionist card. They spent their focus on dismantling most of Hamas capabilities THEN now have increased escalations against HZ and Iran knowing neither party wants war.

Reality is if HZ entered the war more decisively in the beginning alongside Syria/Iraq/Houthis then Israel would have had to contend with a strong Hamas and multiple other fronts.

Strategic mistake on Iran’s part. They sacrificed Hamas largely for geopolitical theater. Now HZ and Iran will be routinely targeted in Syria with no response.

Strategic deterrence outside of Iranian soil has been lost for years. It is only a matter of time till the enemy concludes it can strike Iranian soil without major response. Indeed we saw the Americans debating that internally prior to their response for Jordan attack. For now they decided it was off the table, but it is only matter of time (maybe with President Trump) where he will feel he can strike Iranian soil without major retribution just like how he assassinated Solemani and only had some concussive troops and material damage in response.

You’re missing a big point. Iran’s main deterrence is against the US.

Israel meanwhile militarily, economically, and politically shattered. Yes, Israel strikes and Iranians get killed. That’s war.

Don’t let emotion pollute your thinking.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Now HZ and Iran will be routinely targeted in Syria with no response.

Strategic deterrence outside of Iranian soil has been lost for years.

these sentences are a bit contradictory

it's hard to compare counterfactuals of what would have happened if Hezbollah fully entered the war immediately (to what end? with what objectives?). back then Israel had much more international support and likely would have responded to a Hezbollah escalation with massive force

 

[Persian Gulf]

Hezbollah targets group of IDF soldiers near the border

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Doesn't look like an ATGM

Hezbollah uses Dehlavieh ATGM with thermobaric warhead

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Iraqi Resistance uses Shahed-101 UAV

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I wonder when Iran will supply the Iraqi Resistance with Shahed-136 UAVs. Only 500-600km from West Iraq to Tel Aviv.

 

[tsunset]

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PIJ meeting about Iran

 

[tsunset]

This also looks like a thermobaric shot

 

[mulj]

Huge IDF airstrikes in Syria target suspected Hezbollah ammo/solid fuel storage, at least 31 Syrians and 6 Hezbollah fighters killed

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Israeli leaders have recently been talking about their desire to target Hezbollah 'everywhere'

Incredible how even after decade of war they are exposed to this kind of wars, dug out some storage sights and drill the hills but assad gangs are inept and lazy.

 

[Immortals]

back then Israel had much more international support and likely would have responded to a Hezbollah escalation with massive force

More excuses.

“International community was supporting Israel”

“Israel would conduct massive retilation”

As if the international community would ever seriously abandon Israel. Laughable. Their pathetic UN resolution didn’t do ****!

And being scared of Israeli retaliation is hilarious when they are picking off your officers. This week HZ officers and a senior commander killed. This in addition to the 10+ Iranian officers killed in last several months.

The resistance will sleepwalk into war at time and place of Israel’s choosing at this rate. Not for the lack of trying to avoid it on Iran’s part.

And the beloved Iranian soil will one day be attacked and that “redline” violated. Then you will see the families like Rafsanjani, Larijani, Khomeini, etc who will prioritize wealth and power.

Some here think JCPOA was all Rouhani decision…..as if the major factions within Iran did not quietly approve the biggest international agreement in the history of the Republic.

 

[Persian Gulf]

More excuses.

“International community was supporting Israel”

“Israel would conduct massive retilation”


As if the international community would ever seriously abandon Israel. Laughable. Their pathetic UN resolution didn’t do ****!

And being scared of Israeli retaliation is hilarious when they are picking off your officers. This week HZ officers and a senior commander killed. This in addition to the 10+ Iranian officers killed in last several months.

The resistance will sleepwalk into war at time and place of Israel’s choosing at this rate.

You were saying that "Now HZ and Iran will be routinely targeted in Syria with no response" because Hezbollah did not start a war with Israel after Hamas launched their attack. but that was already the status quo before October 7th and we cannot know the counterfactual scenario.

Hezbollah launching an attack on Israel moments after Hamas did the same would undoubtedly have led to a much more severe response from Israel than what we have seen so far. South Lebanon would probably look like Gaza. Maybe that will happen anyway, but Hezbollah wasn't prepared to start a sudden war with Israel on October 7th since they had no idea about the attack.

 

[tsunset]

People tend to forget that besides Hezbollah, Hamas, Iran and emotions, we should listen firstly to the Lebanese firefighting department that said Lebanon CANNOT afford even just a little war, the firefighting department precised that they DO NOT have the capabilities to restore after a war or protecting civilians and just do their job

The firefighting and EMS, medical department are the most important that knows exactly what they can afford and what they cannot do at all, Lebanon will be left in rubble by Israeli carpet bombing campaigns, no one would be able to do anything about it, UN resolutions will not rebuild anything as they never did with Iraq and Lybia and were just lies to make hope for its population, this has nothing to do with Russia easily rebuilding the land it took in not even a year, this would be total destruction and war and Hezbollah would have to inflict the maximum damage possible to Israel, at the end, even if Hezbollah repulse again Israel, Lebanon will be left in rubble and tens of thousands of civilian deaths which is a catastrophe

 

[Persian Gulf]

People tend to forget that besides Hezbollah, Hamas, Iran and emotions, we should listen firstly to the Lebanese firefighting department that said Lebanon CANNOT afford even just a little war, the firefighting department precised that they DO NOT have the capabilities to restore after a war or protecting civilians and just do their job

The firefighting and EMS, medical department are the most important that knows exactly what they can afford and what they cannot do at all, Lebanon will be left in rubble by Israeli carpet bombing campaigns, no one would be able to do anything about it, UN resolutions will not rebuild anything as they never did with Iraq and Lybia and were just lies to make hope for its population, this has nothing to do with Russia easily rebuilding the land it took in not even a year, this would be total destruction and war and Hezbollah would have to inflict the maximum damage possible to Israel, at the end, even if Hezbollah repulse again Israel, Lebanon will be left in rubble and tens of thousands of civilian deaths which is a catastrophe

Unusually sensible take

The reality is that Hezbollah cannot defeat Israel inside Israel (huge disparity in numbers, resources, weapons, etc) and it exists to defend Lebanese territory. It can do that job well using local territory as a force multiplier but at the cost of severe devastation and high casualties. It is better for Hezbollah to sit back and grow in strength and wait for the right time to reclaim the remaining occupied territory rather than suddenly join the Hamas attack which it didn't prepare for and would have no clear objectives.