Also this from another forum
According to a few political analysts the deal being offered by the army and PPP to IK is
- PTI being rewarded the federal, Punjab, Kpk govt and Karachi
- No action against the army and the pdm opposition for the 2022 VONC, May 2022 long march crackdown, 2022 Nov assassination attempt, Post Punjab kpk Assembly dissolution crackdown, Post May 9, 2023 crackdown on pti
- Freehand to PPP in Sindh
- Withdrawal of all cases against Ik, Bushra Bibi and rest of the pti leadership. Release of pti leadership and other party members
IK so far isn't budging and is being threatened ie the may 9 crackdown is nothing compared to what we will do to the pti now if you don't agree.
PPP is hesitant to work with PML-N again and feel they can no longer go against public sentiment and can no longer deal with the burden of PML-Ns poor performance in the centre. By working with the PML-N again, they will be going against their manifesto and campaign slogans.
Under JUST these terms IK should definitely not take the deal.
The core to his party’s survival is economic performance.
1. He needs assurances foreign friends of the establishment won’t punish Pakistan for allowing IK back in power.
2. He needs the authority to make REAL economic changes; no street protests by religious hooligans if he brings in Atif Mian on merit.
3. The Establishment actually supports his government and allows the breaking up of monopolies, so that new investors have the incentives to come in. It could be as public private partnerships or joint ventures, to ease the transition, but economics is the key to the future of any government; Pakistan has $27 billion due this year and WASTES how it spends tax money on redundant federal ministries when the 18th Amendment gives the money to the provinces.
4. Real legal reforms so cases go through in a matter of weeks, not decades. Investors (and Pakistanis) don’t have decades to waste in land disputes, look at how it’s slowing down India.
5. A free media, free speech, a free non-political judiciary and all other civil liberties in developed countries. If politicians are to not be bogged down in fake cases, they wed to be told what is procedurally illegal before hand.
6. On foreign policy, IK should make a push for ease of movement of Afghans, to visit not to stay, in exchange for afghans financing rapidly the $5 billion of the rail line to Central Asia. Once the line is in place, and the afghans have paid for it, they will want it to be in use. That will make the modernization and investment into ML-1,2,3 economically viable for foreign investors.
The PTI constituency in KPK needs that afghan rail line to transition from their current economy to also being more about value added in higher tech products, such as mining value added.
MOST IMPORTANTLY, PTI needs assurance it will be able to complete a full 5 year term, so that all future governments of whatever party comes to power, can do the same. The nation needs to heal and trust its democracy and its establishment again with time.
The devil is in the details, or in this case, lack of details. Without the right protections and conditions, all the extra remittances and profit from companies will be feared to be confiscated in a few years of the government changes again, as people like Dar
threatened by raiding private bank accounts.
What we are talking about is not just a detail with the PTI but a new social compact with the people, and a stability for all investors. This not about one political power but the way the STATE will operate from now on.
Frankly, once the economy is on track, and growing steadily, I don’t want to think about politicians so often. It should not matter to everyday Pakistanis and diaspora Pakistanis whose in power.
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