Well, this is Russian position on Bakhmut as of Jan 1, 2023
View attachment 61456
They were less than 3 km from Bakhmut
View attachment 61455
We all know how long it take for them to take Bakhmut..........
And then this is Russian position on Avdiivka as of Dec 1, 2023
View attachment 61457
They are less than 4 km away from their cauldron
View attachment 61459
And we all know how long it takes for them to roll over Avdiivka....
By the way, in case you don't know Bakhmut felt on May 17, 2023, Avdiivka felt on Feb 19, 2024....
Going back to my original point, sure, Provrosk may felt in November
IF the Russia can close the gap in 10 weeks (IF, that's a big if)
AND Ukraine withdraws without a fight. But then we already know that, because that's the same thing I said in Feb 2023 when we talk about Bakhmut, and then again some time before I left the old forum when they are marching on Avdiivka. I probably said that same thing back in 2022 when Russia encircle Mariupol back then. And every year, you are talking like Russia took Mariupol and the Ukrainian line will buckle, or Russian took Bakhmut and the Ukrainian line will collapse and so on. we have been talking to each other for almost 3 years now, and we are still talking about it
As I said, I am tired of saying the same thing over and over and over again, maybe it's something for you, I am not interested in saying the same thing every year in response to your post, I mean, you can believe whatever you want to believe, and I would say come back on X (the date of whatever you think will happen) and tell me then, and it's getting stale keep saying the same old thing.......